Study On The Influence Factors Of The Fertility Of The Agricultural Floating Population Under The Policy Of "Two Child"

The beginning of 1990s,with the development of market economy,the increasing demand for labor,migrant rural floating population showed a growing trend,which has become the main force of agricultural population flows,the scale is very large.In the agricultural floating population in a large scale,long time of city life is also the concept of city life the impact of the value pursuit and goal orientation more convergence in the city residents,the same is true in the fertility concept,in the modern city accepted the concept of fertility at the same time,still retain some of the rural traditional birth idea.Through the analysis of the fertility desire of floating population and its influence factors in one hand,the difference can be compared with the traditional fertility desire of floating population in rural fertility intention,provide a reference for the future development of the floating population;on the other hand,is also on the "comprehensive two child policy in Shenyang agricultural area of floating population the applicability of a survey,we analyzed the influence factors of the floating population's fertility desire,for to speed up the city integration,adjust relevant policies to provide a theoretical basis.This paper takes Shenyang district two district of the floating population as the research subject.Using the investigation method,the two child will,child gender preference,will birth time,birth and fertility willingness to cost to describe the status and characteristics of the floating population in Shenyang area of fertility desire;By using the method of interaction analysis,this paper analyzes the individual and family characteristics of the floating population and the fertility desire of the two child,the child's gender preference and the ideal birth time.Using two logistic regression analysis,logistic regression analysis and multivariate linear regression analysis of the birth of two children will of floating population,gender preference,different influence factors of three dimensions will birth time and significant.The status analysis results show that the current fertility wishes of two children of floating population is relatively low,the main reason is to raise the cost is too high,the work is too busy and other reasons;more than half of the floating population on gender preference for the gender structure in the current agricultural floating population that the 1 male and 1 female children is the ideal structure.53%of the population will age of first birth at the age of 26-30 years old,29%of the population will age of first birth at the age of 20-25 years old.Most of the floating population will birth interval in 0-3 years;A total of 58%of the floating population will birth to select the perfect for the family and emotional sustenance;become the biggest economic cost the cost of the floating population's fertility.In two children will analysis the influence factors of gender preference and willingness of the birth time of the three dimensions,The floating population residence time and flow and flow of population age is an important factor restricting the two child will,Time in Shenyang also affect the flow of a certain degree of fertility of two children and a negative correlation,the older children of the rural floating population of two children will be more intense,The agricultural population age,years of education,the flow of time,there is no boy,the influence of income and gender of the floating population of children gender preference through a significant test of floating population by agricultural education less preference for boys is more intense and higher education of the floating population tend to no gender preference of the so-called the;At 20-25 years of age,the floating population had a lower preference for boys and was more likely to be indifferent,Men with shorter mobility are also more likely to have a strong preference for boys,and boys with floating populations are more likely to have an indifferent attitude towards boys.Low income floating population preference for boys tend to be weak,No so-called;female floating population than male floating population in gender preference on the issue more clear that male migrants prefer no gender preference.The current agricultural area of floating population will birth time has postponed trend,Unmarried floating population will age of first birth than married migrants delayed;Have the children of floating population in the desired fertility time interval tend to delay;Male migrants tend to childbearing;Influence of floating population age on the willingness of the age of first birth has negative impact on the willingness of the birth interval,Is positive,the older population will age of first birth the young,Will birth interval longer.