| As a new industry,modern logistics industry has a strong industry correlation and leading effect,has important strategic significance to the development of regional economy.To speed up the transformation and upgrading of modern logistics industry has risen to national strategy level,now is the critical period of transformation and upgrading of Ganzhou logistics,Tihis studying will have certain practical significance.In order to promote the development of ganzhou city transformation and upgrading of modern logistics,the affecting factors and existing problems of modern logistics industry transformation and upgrading must be accounted.The paper mainly have six chapters.In the first chapter is introduction,mainly elaborated the research background and significance,research methods,research ideas and overall grasp logistics research status at home and abroad,put forward the thesis of innovations and shortcomings.The second chapter mainly straighten the related concepts and related theory and method,including regression analysis theory and grey system theory.The third chapter is a detailed analysis of logistics industry’s current situation about the abroad 、domestic and ganzhou city,finally lead to transformation and upgrading of ganzhou city logistics industry development situation,to determine the affecting factors on ganzhou city modern logistics industry transformation and upgrading to provide theory basis for the next chapter.The fourth chapter mainly used the grey forecasting method,quadratic curve method forecasted ganzhou city logistics industry’s added value 、freight volume、 rotation volume of freight transport、total amount of social logistics and social logistics total cost from 2010 to 2014,followed by using of SPSS statistical analysis tools for the five factors’ related regression analysis,it is concluded that these five factors have correlation with regional output value,total investment in fixed assets,total retail sales of social consumer goods.The fifth chapter mainly divided into two sections,the first section puts forward the countermeasures through the development of modern logistics industry transformation and upgrading,mainly including combined with the local economy,promoting the logistics overall scale and so on;The second section mainly aimed at ganzhou city logistics industry transformation and upgrading,and four policy suggestions are given. |