Research And Application Of Agriculture Target Price Estimation In China

Agricultural products, is not only the necessary conditions for people living on, is also the foundation of a country's economic development. China as a developing agricultural country with the largest population in the world, to ensure the supply of agricultural products and price stability, promoting agricultural sustainable development is a significant and difficult task. Since China's reform and opening up, in order to strengthen agricultural development, our country has staged a series of agricultural subsidy policy actively explore the reform of agricultural marketization process. After decades of exploration and practice, our country has been formed a preliminary established the comprehensive income subsidies and production special subsidies and minimum purchase price policy with the combination of favorable policies system.After joining the WTO, China's agricultural market higher levels of rapid opening to the outside world. Inside the agricultural economic structure adjustment and the complex economic environment, the influence of the international and domestic frequent fluctuations of agricultural prices and severe in our country. Abnormal price fluctuations of agricultural products, on the one hand, be bound by the WTO rules, the existing agricultural subsidy policy prices operating space is limited., on the other hand, at present our country agricultural prices for regulation is unity "price", the short-term price intervention approach, to some extent distort the market price formation mechanism, not only increased the national financial burden, are more likely to be caused by domestic food unsold and losses, sustained and healthy development of our country agriculture form adverse effect. Therefore, to reform the current system of agricultural product price controls, build a long-term stable agricultural prices agency system has become the objective requirement and inevitable.This article first analyzes our country agricultural price volatility characteristics, and to solve the problem of fluctuations presented existing agricultural products price regulation system in our country, points out its limitations, China agricultural product price target system is the necessity of agricultural reform in China, relevant experience and draw lessons from foreign agricultural products price target practice. Then analyzed the definition of target price and target, from raising farmers' income, promote economic growth and price stability level three aspects to analyze the cause of the build system of target price; Follow the full cost, reasonable profits, and dynamic adjustment of the three principles to build target price model, as a case study of hunan rice on rice production first, cost-benefit analysis, and then measure the target price of rice in hunan province level and compared with the national level; Finally, the calculation result shows that to build system of agricultural products target price put forward the corresponding policy Suggestions, so as to provide reference for the deepening of reform process of China's agriculture.