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A Study On The Scale Of Urban Housing Security And Subsidy Model

Posted on:2017-12-25Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:S E YeFull Text:PDF
GTID:2359330512463729Subject:Business Administration
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With the acceleration of the process of urbanization and industrialization,the urban population rapidly gathered.Housing prices become higher and higher in the market,so many low-income families can't afford housing.Therefore the government provide public housings to solve the low-income families' housing problems.However,,there are two problems in the process of policy making,that is the choice of subsidy method and the determination of the scale.Therefore,we compare the different housing subsidy methods,predicting the suitable scale of housing security,exploring the scale of different subsidy modes.The purpose is for the government to establish long-term effective safeguard mechanism to provide the reference basis.Firstly,this paper starts from the subsidy model of various types of public housing in Hangzhou.We analyzed the different ways of subsidy from three perspectives,and used the inverted U-shaped curve to analyze the housing policy development of Hangzhou in three stages.Secondly,we construct an index system which can affect the scale of public housing supply through reading a large amount of literature.We take the main urban area of Hangzhou as the research object.Then we screen out three main indexes by using the improved Gray Relational Grade.Finally,we use GM(1,1)to forecast the data of the three main indicators in the next three years.According to the forecasted security level,the scale of the various types of public housing is forecasted and analyzed in the latter two stages of housing policy.Through the research of the paper,we draw the following conclusions.(1)There are three main influencing factors of Hangzhou housing security scale,including per capita income,per capita disposable income and investment in real estate development.They are positively related to the scale of security.(2)We find that the method combining regression model and gray system prediction is superior to the single gray system prediction model.The results predicted by the former method is in line with the inverted U-shaped curve hypothesis.(3)Hangzhou various types of affordable housing at different stages of different scale,the subsidy model gradually by the physical allocation of leased to monetary subsidies,and ultimately there will be a public rental housing to replace affordable housing situation.
Keywords/Search Tags:Housing Subsidy Model, Housing Security Scale, Grey Relation Grade, Grey System Model
PDF Full Text Request
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