| The development of urbanization is an important empirical issue after China's the third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee.Development of urbanization has a positive role to start investment and consumption of domestic demand.In this paper,we extend the previous research point of view,that the development of the industry is the key to support the sustainable development of urbanization.Industry development to promote the role of urbanization in the previous studies carried out from industrial upgrading,industrial agglomeration,industrial and labor income and other aspects of the study.In addition,Yifu Lin and others for the economic development of the technology selection problem,put forward the theory of new structural economics.The development of urbanization can be classified as the problem of economy development,this article attempts to use Yifu Lin effect and influence path of new structural economics in industrial technology industry technology behind the model to study the industry on urbanization rate promotion.Industrial technology choice is divided into heavy industry preference,labor intensive bias.The skewness technology selection index(also weighing industry priority index)TCI measure.This paper introduces the concepts and theories of new structural economics and industrial technology selection index,in order to explain the innovation and applicability of these theories to the study of urbanization.Then the provisions of the urbanization development target selection:the urbanization rate increase and urbanization in the evolution of industrial upgrading,with urban household population resident population estimates compared to the former,the latter by the third industry employment accounted for three of industrial employment proportion calculation.The research of this paper is to find the ideas behind the industrial technology choice positive mathematical influence on urbanization rate,in order to investigate the numerical relationship between the two;and that industrial technology selection index is further affect the conduction path of urbanization rate is affected by the evolution of industry upgrading,through empirical industrial evolution upgrade related indicators as intermediary technology research the selection index,the urbanization rate,the proportion of the third industry employment,the causal relationship between the numerical analysis and verification.In the specific operation,this paper lists the technical choice index TCI,urbanization rate UBR and third industry employment proportion of ser three variables of the time series in 2012.And with UBR,TCI values of urban third gear,and the typical three towns were built on the TCI and the impulse response model of VaR ser UBR,TCI,and the subsequent analysis of the causal relationship between Grainger.The purpose of this study is to explore the influence of different urban and technological options on the urbanization rate and the difference between the urban and the urbanization rate.From the empirical results,industrial technology choice index low city,keep close to the TCI value of 1,statistics on this kind of city urbanization rate is high,mature towns,empirical industrial technology selection index of urbanization rate is significant and pulse Grainger for technical reasons;choose a high index of city,the city is relatively heavy industrialization,urbanization rate is relatively low,the empirical technology selection index of the urbanization rate of the negative pulse,but no reason was Grainger.The town of heavy industry is not expected to be significantly Grainger reason,this paper puts forward three points to explain.In addition,the empirical results on the employment proportion of third industry technology selection index:industrial technology choice in the development of endowment or heavy industrialized city are technology selection index of the proportion of the third industry employment significantly positive or negative pulse and Grainger.It proved that the industrial technology index of urbanization in mature areas of choice,not only has significant numerical relations,and industrial technology choice is the evolution of the upgrade path to promote the development of urbanization through the industry;and add heavy industrial towns,industrial technology selection increased hair development of towns can have inhibitory effect by inhibiting the industrial evolution and upgrading of the path the indirect effects of the path similar to non heavy industrial town.Through empirical find industrial technology selection mathematical relation and the influence path effect on urbanization rate,draw conclusions and suggestions,Chinese under the situation of urbanization industrial technology selection model should reverse heavy industry layout situation,to inject more resources for the economic development and the development of the third industry,only more rich and diverse industries to provide high value and high employment the rate for China's urbanization,urbanization resources layout low technology selection index of urbanization development will have the power. |
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