Liaoning Statistical Analysis On The Impact Of Changes In Industrial Structure On Employment Structure

Since the third plenary session of the national economy continues to develop, but the employment is still a big problem. Due to the economic development of our country in recent years into the new normal, the economy is in a state of decline,especially for the northeast old industrial base, as the economy enters the new normal,support the northeast region economic development of the industry development problems, as the birthplace of heavy industry of the People's Republic of China,northeast China is subject to a single industrial structure, risk resistance, weak ability to resist market impact factors, such as development of major problems in recent years. To make matters worse, the economic downturn of let this "heavy industry base" the employment situation of complex and serious. And employment depends on the development of northeast economy and structural adjustment, the influence of such factors in order to promote employment in northeast China, based on the analysis of the industrial structure change, on the basis of the forecast of employment structure.This article selected range is in Liaoning province, in view of such a big population province, Liaoning province, can solve the employment problem,relationship to achieve the goals of the northeast old industrial base in northeast. The article first analyses the current situation of the structure of Liaoning province,including the industrial structure and employment structure, to understand the structure of the present situation of Liaoning province, and then the structure of industry and employment in Liaoning province interaction analysie, on the one hand,using the correlation between the index analysis of the two relations, index including correlation coefficient index, structure deviation degree and employment elasticity.On the other hand using cointegration and multivariate logarithm linear regression analysis the change of industrial structure in Liaoning province, in turn, impact on employment, and employment structure of Liaoning province is forecasted, the premise is the first article of the industrial structure is forecasted, from the analysis results, the adjustment of industrial structure in Liaoning province has a certain influence on employment structure, economic growth in Liaoning province is mainly by the pull of the second industry,with supporting role to the development of economy, and with the constant adjustment, the second industry and the tertiary industry in Liaoning province have played an important role in absorbing the first industry surplus labor, although the third industry to absorb labor force plays a certain role, but development is insufficient, still need further perfect. Can see from the employment structure prediction, with the adjustment of industrial structure in Liaoning province, to predict "much starker choices-and graver consequences-in"period of employment structure has certain improvement, one of the primary industry employment proportion to land, secundiparity also fall,recruit workers play an important role in tertiary industry.The place of innovation of this paper has two points, one is on the analysis of the industrial structure change, this paper use changes the direction of industrial structure and industrial structure change speed the two measures; it is in the forecast of employment structure in Liaoning province, based on the perspective of industrial structure change of operating, in the past few papers analysis under the perspective of industrial structure change.