Research On Energy Saving And Emissions Abatement Policies Of China's Iron And Steel Industry

On the issue of global climate change,China is facing enormous pressure from developed countries.In Paris climate conference 2015?COP21?,China has made a series of commitments: plan to reach CO₂ emissions peak around 2030 and try hard to peak earlier;emissions per unit of GDP decreased by 60%-65% compared to 2005 by 2030;non-fossil energy accounts for about 20% of primary energy consumption by 2030.To achieve this goals,all energy intensive sectors must make adjustments.China's iron and steel industry is a typical high energy consumption,high emission industry,China's iron and steel industry CO₂ emissions accounted for about 15% of the country's total emissions as well.Therefore,the low carbon development of China's iron and steel industry plays an important role in promoting China's overall goal of reducing carbon emissions.Taking China's iron and steel industry as the research theme,the paper try to make an exploration on energy conservation and emission reduction polices of China's iron and steel industry.First of all,this paper introduced the development progress of China's iron and steel industry,and analyzed the current situation and existing problems of the iron and steel industry.Secondly,this paper studied the evolution of China's iron and steel industry polices with time,and made an thorough analysis of China's current iron and steel industry polices.Thirdly,the paper conducted a simulation analysis of production process and energy-saving and emissions reduction technologies of China' iron and steel industry.Then based on the previous research work of the paper,with the assistance of LEAP?Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System?,this paper established a LEAP-Policy simulation model,which is consist of 1 benchmark scenarios and 3 policy scenarios.This paper explored the energy-saving and emission reduction performance of China's iron and steel industry policies,and explored the energy saving and emission reduction potential in China's iron and steel industry from 2015 to 2040.In the LEAP-Policy model,baseline scenario?BAU?is totally based on the past trends,which is on the hypothesis that the past tendency will be lasting and no extra policies will be adopted in the near future;cut excessive industrial capacity scenario?CEC?is based on eliminate oversupply capacity,and assumes that the Chinese government will use administrative means to eliminate 100-150 million undeveloped iron & steel production capacity during the 13 th FYP?2016-2020?;Technology promotion scenario?TI?indicates that Chinese government will promote energy conservation and emissions abatement technologies in iron & steel sector in the form of compulsory;Emissions trade scenario?ET?is based on policies for addressing climate change,and it assumes that China will launch a national CO₂ emissions trading market which will cover the iron & steel sector.The results of this paper showed that the effects of 4 scenarios are ranked as follows: emissions trade scenario?ET?> cut excessive capacity scenario?CEC?>technology improvement scenario?TI?>business-as-usual scenario?BAU?.From the point of view of iron & steel industry,this research tries to cast light on the future performances of industrial policies,and the results reveal that CO₂ emissions would be abated significantly if those policies are successfully implemented.Finally,according to the research on the energy saving and emission reduction polices of China's iron and steel industry,this paper gives some suggestions on how to promote the energy saving and low carbon development in China's iron and steel industry.