Study On The Potential Of Carbon Emissions From The Logistics Industry Based On LEAP

With energy shortage is getting more severe very day, the logistics department, as a high energy consumption department, has brought higher environmental emissions. When the economy is in steady and high-speed growth which then has caused the environmental emissions at the same time. Consequently, study on effect of logistics development on energy saving and emissions reducing is of great significance.Based on this background, this thesis chooses LEAP(Long-range Energy Analysis Plan System) model and scenario analysis to study the effect of China logistics development on energy saving and emissions reducing by comparing several models.It Establishes China leap-Logistics model from year 2010 as initial year to year 2050.At first it is divided into transport sector, warehousing sector and distribution sector. And furthermore, model Parameters such as logistics demand volume, energy intensity and emission intensity are created by using the regression analysis etc. The model results show that the energy demand and environmental emissions are both decreased on each developing scenario compared with corresponding reference scenario at different degree. At last, this thesis gives thought to china Logistics development from the view of saving energy and reducing emissions. Hopefully, the suggestions in this thesis can provide some useful reference to the logistics development.