Study On Influencing Factors And Trend Prediction Of Camellia Oleifera Industry Development In China

Camellia oleifera is a kind of woody oil plant in southern China.As a kind of economic forest crop,Camellia oleifera oil industry has got extensive attentions in china.Under the policy support of the country and the main oil producing areas' government,China's tea industry has developed rapidly in recent years,in 2014,the national Camellia oleifera seed production exceeded 2 million tons,processing enterprises reached 1844.Although the environment for the development of Camellia oleifera industry is good,but there is still objective problems like: less production,Overall the under-funded,technology updates slow,industry standards are not standardized,consumer groups limited,the development of Camellia oleifera industry has been at a low level,unable to meet the current market demand.In this paper,through the analysis of the current situation of Camellia oleifera cultivation,the development situation of Camellia oleifera Industry and based on the existing data of Camellia oleifera,the influencing factors of Camellia oleifera industry were analyzed,and the future development trend of Camellia oleifera industry was predicted.First of all,this paper analyzes the factors like production,demand conditions,related and supporting industries,corporate strategy and competition in the same industry,as well as the government and opportunities of Camellia oleifera industry.And learn from the advanced experience of the industrial development of the main oil producing countries in the Mediterranean region,analyze the current situation of the development of China's Camellia oleifera industry.In the empirical study,based on the existing data,and using panel data model,GM(1,1)grey model to analyze the factors affecting the production of Camellia oleifera seed,and predict the future development of Camellia oleifera industry.Based on the above research,this paper tries to find the common problems in the development of Camellia oleifera industry,and puts forward some policy suggestions.The research shows that the current development of China's tea industry is still in the initial stage,the low yield of camellia seed is the main reason for restricting the furtherdevelopment of the Camellia oleifera industry,also the investment in science and technology,policy support has great influence on Camellia oleifera industry.But on the whole,there is still a great potential in the oil tea industry,we need to increase investment,accelerate the pace of technological upgrading,improve the industrial chain,establish the Camellia oleifera industry standards,and give full play to the role of Camellia oleifera industry association.