The Scale Forecast Of Cross-Border Electricity Supplier Logistics In China

Cross border electricity supplier as a new form of foreign trade,import and export market in China is relatively weak environment,showing strong vitality.The past two years,China's total import and export of a certain degree of decline,while the scale of cross-border electricity supplier transactions are climbing."The Belt and Road" free trade zone "and" cross-border electricity supplier comprehensive experimentation area "and a series of national macro strategy for the development of cross-border trade in China has laid a solid foundation of policy,and also regulate the development of the industry.In the fierce development of cross-border electricity supplier industry environment,cross-border logistics as an important part of the cross-border electricity supplier operation process,the development of the state by the multi concern.Due to the long distance transportation,customs and other factors restrict the development of cross-border logistics,so it is necessary to carry out cross-border logistics related research.The prediction of cross-border logistics market scale is helpful to integrate logistics resources more effectively.Due to the current relevant information on the empirical research on logistics of cross-border less,so this paper on the market scale of China's cross-border electricity prediction research,combined with the relevant earnings of cross-border B2 C listed companies vip.com and Amazon,determine the compliance costs of turnover ratio range,thus completing the prediction of logistics scale.In the part of prediction of cross-border electricity supplier scale,combined with industry development history and current situation,reference to the relevant research literature,from the total economy,industrial structure,domestic and foreign trade,the development of online shopping,people's life and express the development of six part of setting up an index system,according to the principle of selecting indicator preliminary set up 11 indicators.Through the analysis of grey correlation degree,3 low correlation index.On the basis of the summary of various prediction methods,the multiple regression and grey forecasting methods are combined with the research object.In the empirical analysis,we use SPSS and MATLAB to establish the prediction model based on the original data,and test the model to ensure the accuracy of prediction.Based on the results of the two models using the integrated approach to complete the integration of forecasts,the forecast results show that by 2020 China's cross-border electricity supplier market size will reach 10 trillion and 610 billion 240 million yuan.According to vip.com and Amazon earnings analysis,accounting for the proportion of the cost of logistics market size of about 10%~15%.Based on this view of China's cross-border electricity supplier logistics market size to 2020 will reach 1 trillion yuan and between $1 trillion and 600 billion.