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The Risk Management Analysis Of Charging Pile PPP Project Based On Matter-Element Method

Posted on:2018-12-02Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:H J ZhangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2359330542488973Subject:National Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Electric vehicles are a vehicle that complies with road safety regulations,except that the power source of electric vehicles is power rather than petrol.Electric vehicles as new energy vehicles,has the following advantages:(1)zero emissions,low noise.Electric vehicles use electricity as a power source,reducing the gasoline as a power source of exhaust gas,to avoid the formation of acid rain acid mist and photochemical smog and other damage to the environment of the material;electric vehicle motor noise generated by the internal combustion engine noise,greatly reducing the noise Adverse effects on human health.(2)simple structure easy maintenance.As the electric car to use the motor to drive the car,you do not need the engine,transmission,fuel tank and exhaust system and a series of equipment,greatly reducing the interior space,simplify the car structure,to maintain the electric car to do a good bedding.(3)save energy and save money.Electric vehicles,100 km power consumption of 15-20kwh,count the loss of power plants and motorcycles,100 km of energy consumption of about 7 kg of standard coal.Traditional cars by 100 km fuel consumption of 10L,energy consumption of about 10 kilograms of standard coal,the use of electric vehicles to save a lot of resources.At present the country to promote electric vehicles,issued a series of subsidies,for the buyers to save money.According to the International Energy Agency data show that in 2016 the global sales of about 2 million electric vehicles,an increase of 60%over 2015;which accounted for 2016 global sales of electric vehicles in the cumulative sales of 32%,about 65 million units,the growth rate maximum.According to the data speculation,electric vehicles will be in the next decade gradually recognized by consumers,the market has been expanding.The promotion of electric vehicles can promote social green development,become the basis for sustainable development.Charging piles for the charging car to provide electricity,is essential for charging cars complement each other.At present.the number of charging piles in China is far from the needs of users,looking for pile charges,charging piles and charging cars are not compatible and other issues to be solved.PPP model as a new financing model,with the introduction of social capital projects,reduce government financial pressure,share the advantages of government projects and so on.The application of PPP mode to the construction of charging pile foundation can effectively increase the number of charging pile,improve the quality of charging pile and promote the development and perfection of charging automobile industry.However,the application of PPP model in the construction of charging pile infrastructure project has not yet formed a mature management system in China,which lacks a unified standard of demonstrative significance in the whole country,and has a long operation time,large investment amount,more participant and return period Longer and other shortcomings,the project risk is greater,ranging from the project to bear a certain loss,such as the cost is too high to extend the completion time,while the failure of the entire project,the parties bear major losses.Therefore,this paper studies the risk management of charging pile PPP project.Based on the previous research,this paper based on the life cycle theory,carries on the risk identification to the charging pile PPP project,establishes the risk evaluation model based on the matter element method,and applies the model to the actual case,analyzes the charging pile PPP project Risk in order to manage the risk so that the project can be implemented smoothly.This paper is divided into five parts.According to the content,the theory of risk management of charging pile PPP project,the construction of CF project risk management model based on matter element method,the case analysis,the conclusion and further research direction are given.The first chapter mainly discusses the research background and significance of this paper,as well as the definition of related concepts,namely PPP model and the concept of risk management;and briefly describes the research status of risk management at home and abroad,put forward the research content,structure and research The main innovations and shortcomings of this paper are expounded.The second chapter mainly analyzes the theory of the paper.Mainly divided into charging pile PPP project risk management theory and the basic principles of matter-element method.Charging Pile The PPP risk management theory mainly includes PPP project risk identification method and traditional risk assessment method.PPP project risk identification methods include brainstorming method,Delphi method,scenario analysis method and check chart method.The traditional risk assessment method is fuzzy Comprehensive evaluation method,Monte Carlo simulation method,gray system theory and so on.Based on the characteristics of charging pile PPP project and the life cycle theory of the project,according to the characteristics of each stage,the risk is divided into political risk,financial risk,market risk and so on.Matter element analysis is a new discipline to study the laws and methods to solve incompatibility problems.It is a cross-cutting discipline of thinking science,system science and mathematics.It is the center of the study of"ideas,ideas," the law,theory and methods,is to describe the minds of thinking ideas,try to solve the problem of incompatibility tools,it has a very strong artificial intelligence color.The third chapter mainly constructs the PPP project risk management model based on the material element method.Firstly,the principle of establishing the risk index system is established,and the risk index system is established according to the principle.Secondly,the theoretical model is established,the weight of the index is determined,the matter element matrix is established,the classical domain and the domain element are determined.Finally,the correlation function is determined,And assess the risk level.In the fourth chapter,according to the actual case,this paper analyzes the PPP project risk management model based on the material element method.First of all,the project background is introduced,followed by the use of material element method to assess the project risk.and finally the effect of the model to evaluate.Chapter 5 is the conclusion and further research direction.In this part,the paper summarizes the effect of Matter Element Method on the risk management of charging pile PPP project,and puts forward the further research direction of PPP project risk management.The main innovation of this paper is to apply the extension theory based on matter-element method to PPP project risk management,and establish the combination of analytic hierarchy process and matter-element method to evaluate the risk.The main shortcomings are the subjectivity of the weight index of the risk index and the evaluation result.Only the risk between the government and the social capital is studied,and the risk of the internal capital of the society is not analyzed.Only one industry is studied and no further extension.
Keywords/Search Tags:charging pile PPP project, risk management, matter-element method
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