Research On The Impact Of Emerging Technologies On The Development Of Shipping Industry

This paper selects around shipping development changes of shipping enterprise system as the research object.From the perspective of the shipping industry,how to cope with the impact of emerging technology brought to the shipping industry is studied.The common points of the emerging technologies which have a significant impact on the shipping industry,is summed up.And how the emerging technologies affect the shipping industry directly and indirectly is explained.Through system dynamics modeling,the influence of emerging technology on shipping internal system is clarified,and the impact of emerging technology on shipping external environment is predicted and analyzed.Then,policy recommendations are put forward on the basis of analysis.First of all,The emerging technology impact on the shipping industry is divided into direct and indirect influence,changes in the internal system of shipping reflect immediate impact,while changes in the external environment of shipping industry reflect indirect effects.So that the problems can be abstracted.In shipping internal system,Shipping enterprises,shipping technology research institutions and markets interact with each other;external systems of shipping,technology affects the shipping trade volume and freight volume by changing market demand.Secondly,the internal dynamics system of shipping industry model is constructed using system dynamics ideology which is made up of causal relationship between factors;shipping trade volume which is affected by the emerging technology is made for external input of the shipping system by prediction using factor analysis,and the problem can be abstracted into a mathematical model of quantitative solution.Simulation with vensim software which verified feasible.Conclusion shows:the use of new technology in the shipping industry is still in the growth stage,but it will usher in rapid growth period.Finally,in terms of the environmental policy advice,comparison of the simulation results which is given by adjustment of commercial enterprise policy factor and policy factor,shows:when enterprises attach importance to commercialization and encourage technological innovation,influence policy may take years to emerge,so that different policy should be carried out in different stages;when adjusting the ideal number of enterprises and development fund investment ratio,the industry policy recommendations is given after simulation results of the analysis:The shipping industry can be stimulated if the society shows a right accession of emerging technology,the government gives policy support to the industry,as well as consciously control the number of enterprises.Throughout the paper,phenomena is extracted,problems is abstracted into model of the system.By solving the system model and analyzing the conclusion,solution reflected to the phenomenon itself as it showed in the very beginning,which gives comprehension of the impact of emerging technologies on the shipping industry and reference to preparation for the impact.