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Study On Demand Forecast And Supply Security Strategy Of Niobium Resources In China

Posted on:2020-11-24Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y ZhangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2381330575978203Subject:Geological Engineering
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Niobium is a Strategic minerals,It has important applications in superconducting materials,aerospace,electronic industry and other fields.China is the world's largest consumer of niobium and plays an important role in the global niobium resources market.China's domestic niobium resource endowment is not good,the output is low,and the external dependence of niobium resources is large.In the future,the consumption of niobium resources in China will increase with the upgrading of iron and steel products.forecasting the demand of niobium resources and analyzing the safety of niobium resources in China are of great significance for ensuring the safety of niobium resources and formulating relevant policies in China.It great significance for ensuring the healthy development of niobium industry in China.Firstly,the data of reserves,output,consumption,trade volume and price of niobium resources are sorted out.The global supply and demand of niobium resources are highly separated,Trade flows mainly from Brazil,Canada to China,the United States,South Korea and other major countries of niobium resource consumption.Because of the high reserves and exploitation of global niobium resources,prices have increased steadily and remained stable.Based on the Ratio of Chinese Iron and Steel Production and the Change of China's iron and steel output Using the formula niobium demand = steel output * niobium demand / steel output The demand for niobium resources in China before 2030 is forecasted.The forecast shows that the demand for niobium resources in China will keep stable and rapid growth between 2020 and 2030.In the future,the steel industry will remain the main sector of consumption of niobium resources in China.By 2020,the demand for niobium resources in China will reach about 12-18 thousand tons;by 2025,it will reach 22-30 thousand tons;and by 2030,it is expected to reach 27-39 thousand tons.This paper analyses the factors affecting the safety of Chinese niobium resources,lists the evaluation indexes,analyses the risk factors affecting the safety of Chinese niobium resources,and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.Through the evaluation of the relevant indicators,it is concluded that the risks of Chinese niobium resources mainly lie in the high degree of external dependence,the high degree of regional production concentration and the high degree of market concentration.It summarizes the safety of Chinese niobium resources.The existing problems are the lack of Nb resources in China,the high degree of dependence on foreign countries,the lack of market control over international Nb resources,the high concentration of imports of resources,the prone to unsafe factors,the poor resource endowment conditions,the lack of domestic Nb mines that can be exploited,The choice of smelting technology needs to be improved.Based on the above research,the problems existing in China's niobium resources are analyzed,and the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.As for the security situation of niobium resources in China,this paper puts forward the following suggestions: Strengthening the Exploration of Niobium Resources in China?Comprehensive development and utilization of niobium resources?strengthening overseas distribution?strengthening the strategic reserve of niobium resources?active development of alternatives to niobium?increasing the recovery and utilization of niobium resources.Extraction and smelting technology for increasing niobium resources.
Keywords/Search Tags:China, niobium resources, demand forecasting, index system, supply security
PDF Full Text Request
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