Research On The Supply-demand Relationship And Economic Development Effect Of The Elderly Service Industry In Dezhou

According to a group of data released by the Dezhou Municipal Office on Aging,as early as the end of 2018,the size of the elderly population (over 60 years old) in Dezhou city was 1.1 million,with an aging degree of 18.5 percent.With the passing of time,the situation will become more severe,as dezhou city is in the stage of rapid population aging.According to the prediction of The Bureau of Statistics of Dezhou city,by the end of 2020,the proportion of the elderly population over 65 years old and over 60 years old in Dezhou city will exceed 15% and 20% respectively,indicating that the aging problem in this region is very serious.Therefore,Dezhou city has a very urgent need for the development of the old-age service industry.The so-called pension service industry refers to the production and operation activities that provide care services and related products to the elderly on the basis of commodity exchange,so as to achieve profitability.It can meet the personalized,diversified and special living needs and spiritual pursuit of the elderly groups,which belongs to the category of service industry.In view of the high degree of aging population in Dezhou City,the research on the supply and demand of pension can,to a great extent,dig into the development problems of pension service industry in Dezhou City,explore the contradictions between supply and demand,especially the reasons behind the contradictions,so as to provide practical guidance for solving the contradiction between supply and demand of pension services in less developed areas.In addition,providing pension services based on the relationship between supply and demand is of positive significance to improve the supply effectiveness of the elderly service industry in Dezhou and meet the diversified needs of the elderlyBased on the supply and demand theory,social development welfare theory,stakeholder theory,equalization of basic public services theory and market failure theory as the guidance,with the help of questionnaire method,index smoothing method,qualitative and quantitative combination and other research methods,this paper expounds the development of the elderly service industry in Dezhou City,and measures the economic effect of the pension service industry,so as to clarify the pension service industry The old service industry plays a positive role in the economic and social development of Dezhou City in terms of total output and contribution rate to economic growth.In addition,combined with the questionnaire survey,this paper analyzes the supply and demand balance of the elderly service industry in Dezhou City,and measures the payment ability of the elderly groups in Dezhou City.It mainly analyzes the main causes of the imbalance in the supply and demand of the elderly service in Dezhou City from the perspectives of insufficient supply of institutional pension service,single form of pension service,low quality of pension service supply and insufficient financial investment Ask questions.In view of the research results,the paper puts forward that Dezhou city must face the relationship between supply and demand,combine with the prominent problem of mismatch between supply and demand,build pension service facilities as a whole,optimize the supply of rural elderly care service,continuously improve the carrying capacity of elderly care service in Dezhou City,actively encourage private capital to participate in the development of pension service industry,and tamp pension clothing In order to effectively improve the imbalance of supply and demand of pension service industry in Dezhou City,we need to optimize the allocation of resources.Innovation points:This paper studies the role of pension service industry in economic development,and quantitatively analyzes the contribution of pension service industry to local economic and social development.By means of exponential smoothing method,the development scale and economic contribution of the old-age service industry in Dezhou city in the next few years are quantitatively predicted,thus the necessity of the development of the old-age service industry in Dezhou city is clarified.In addition,based on the analysis of the matching of the supply and demand of the old-age service,it provides reference for the better development of the old-age service industry in Dezhou city in the future.