Research On The Employment Effect Of Resource-based Cities' Transition

Resource-based city is a type of city whose leading industry is resource-based industry.In the fast development of China's economy,resource-based cities have provided essential basic energy,made important contribution to the re-rise of China.However,as China's economy enters new normal and the further advance of supply-side structural reform,the long-term accumulation of some systematic and structural contradiction in resource-based cities has emerged.In addition,the appear of problems like non-renewable resources' exhaustion,substitutes' increase and environment's severe damage etc,the sustainable development of resource-based cities suffered severe restriction,change of traditional development modes and actively promote of industrial transition are imperative.Compare to foreign resource-based cities where workers have stronger mobility and migrates from cities to cities for suitable jobs often,workers in China's resource-based industries have typical solidification feature,the labor employment problems happen accompanying industrial transition would affect society's harmony and stability as well as transition's success directly.This paper use China's economic transition as background,base on industrial transition's employment effect theory,try to find out how the level of employment changes during the industrial transition of resource-based cities and what the relevant factors are,finally offer feasible policies and suggestions from the angle of resource-based cities' transition and through the study of the change of industrial structure and technical progressThis paper uses 33 typical resource-based cities as data sample and the study period is2003-2015.After the comparison of industrial structure and employment structure's evolution rule in resource-based cities and China,establish a quantitative model to study the relationship of industrial structure change and employment in resource-based cities.Then use reciprocal regression model to study technical progress' direct and indirect effects on employment.Further more,use human capital and industrial structure as threshold variable,study the relationship between technical progress and employment with threshold regression model.The main conclusions include: resource-based cities' secondary industry is almost full in employment and the tertiary industry needs to absorb more labor than its capability;the tertiary industry proportion has a significant positive effect on resource-based cities' employment,while the strength of industrial structure variation and the intra-city industry reallocation exhibit a significant negative effect on employment growth;technical progress has a significant negative impact on resource-based cities' employment which also has a significant threshold feature: when human capital level exceeds a certain level,the negative impact of technical progress on employment significantly weaken;when the tertiary industry proportion exceeds a certain level,technical progress would have a significant positive impact on employment;when threshold variables are under threshold value,technical progress would aggravate unemployment.Base on this,resource-based cities should read the relationship among industrial structure upgrading,technical progress and employment growth correctly,give consideration to labor-intensive,capital-intensive and technology-intensive industries' development all,give play to economic growth's leading role in employment as much as it can;devote more effort in educational business,improve the human capital structure in resource-based cities,realize labor's free mobility and effective configuration;break the lock-in effect in resource-based cities' development,fully absorb labor discharged from resource-based industries through the extension of resource-based industrial chains.