An Empirical Study On The "structure-speed" Effect Of China's Peri-urbanization

Urbanization level of our country has experienced rapid growth period,From 1978 to 2016,China’s urbanization rate increased from 17.92% to 17.92%,with an average annual increase 1%.In the process of rapid development of urbanization,the urbanization policy cannot meet the needs of the present urbanization,Therefore,there are a series of problems,among which the semi-urbanization problem is ubiquitous in the current urbanization development process.Whether the 57.35% urbanization rate in 2016 really represents the actual urbanization rate in China today is debatable.At present,we need to face the fact that,in the process of increasing urbanization,more and more migrant workers are transferred from rural areas to cities.Due to the limitation of the household registration system and based on the household registration system of various social inequity,large groups such as migrant workers are still not really into the city,and into the process of citizens is relatively difficult and complex.Therefore,it is very important to pay attention to and study the problem of semi-urbanization in China.This paper is based on the discussion of semi-urbanization of scholars at home and abroad.Further analysis of the effects of semi-urbanization on industrial structure adjustment and economic growth rate,and tries to explain the structure and speed of migrant workers’ citizenization.The main conclusions of this paper are :(1)For every percentage point increase in semi-urbanization rate,the absolute value of the first industrial structure deviation decreased by 0.6990 percentage points,and the absolute value of the second industrial structure deviation decreased by 0.8819 percentage points.It indicates that the semi-urbanization rate is negatively correlated with the absolute value of the first and second industrial structures.The negative correlation proves that the existence of a series of special regimes,such as the household registration system,leads to the phenomenon of semi-urbanization in China.And the level of semi-urbanization means that some of the farmers who were engaged in agricultural production in China have entered the city.But there is no modern urban life,becoming a migrant worker in the city.In turn,it accelerates the shift of Chinese employment from the first industry to the second industry.Therefore,during this period,the proportion of the first industry in our country is significantly lower than that of the standard first industry.The second industry in our country accounts for more important than the standard secondary industry.There is a positive deviation in the absolute value of industrial structure deviation.(2)For every percentage point increase in semi-urbanization rate,the real GDP of China increased by 1.77 units,resulting in an increase of 1.62 units per capita GDP.Note that semi-urbanization is beneficial to China’s economic growth.But a large number of migrant workers enter the city and their families do not enter the city.Therefore,the development of urban service industry is not fast,but it greatly accelerates the development of industrialization.Therefore,the semi-urbanization is to accelerate the development of China’s industrialization rather than the service industry,so that the Chinese economy keeps growing.This development needs constant adjustment and improvement.(3)Semi-urbanization is only a special phenomenon in the process of urbanization.Eventually,it will gradually fade away from the historical stage and gradually change from semi-urbanization to complete urbanization.In the process of this transformation,it is necessary to continuously promote the transformation of migrant workers from farmers to citizens.The promotion of citizenization of migrant workers can drive urban consumption and increase the proportion of urban tertiary industry.At the same time,the influence of the citizenization of migrant workers on the economic development speed is divided into two stages.The first stage is to drive the development of the service industry and accelerate the economic development.The second stage is that potential growth will slow in the future.