Research On Investment Risk Evaluation Of The Pension Real Estate Project Of Vanke Suiyuan Jiashu

China entered an aging society in 1999,and the degree of aging has continued to deepen since then.The increase of the aging population has expanded the scale of the consumer groups and gradually expanded into an industrial chain,thus forming an increasingly sophisticated emerging industry--the old-age industry.The emergence and development of old-age real estate is based on the old-age industry,and the emergence of old-age real estate has become an inevitable result in the context of the times.As the development of the old-age industry has received increasing attention in recent years,more and more investors have begun to get involved in pension real estate projects,many of which are blind investors.Through a scientific and comprehensive evaluation of investment risks of pension real estate projects,this paper effectively guides investors to avoid potential risks in the investment process and avoid unnecessary investment losses based on risk assessment conclusions.This paper identifies the risk factors that may be faced in the investment process of the pension real estate project,and classifies its investment risk factors into four categories as the criteria layer:location factor,policy factor,economic factor,product factor,and Based on this,18 investment risk assessment indicators were identified as indicators,and a complete investment risk evaluation index system was constructed.The entropy weight method is used to calculate the weights of each index,establish the object to be evaluated,determine the classic domain and the corresponding domain of each index,and calculate the correlation degree of the index.Based on the above,establish the extension evaluation model to invest in the pension real estate project.The assessment is carried out and judged by the goodness evaluation to obtain the risk level to which the project belongs.Finally,taking the Vanke Suiyuan Jiashu Project as an example,the data collection was carried out through the Hangzhou Statistical Yearbook,the Vanke Group Annual Report and the major real estate database platforms.After the data was sorted,it was applied to the constructed evaluation model Determine the risk level that the project will face in 2013-2016,so as to achieve a scientific and clear presentation of the risk levels faced by each stage of the investment process of the old-age real estate project.In this paper,the extension theory is applied to the risk assessment of pension real estate investment,and the corresponding evaluation system is constructed.According to the corresponding risk factors,the evaluation value is predicted.Therefore,we should predict the risk at the initial stage of investment decision,try to avoid risk avoidance,form an effective risk control system,reduce or avoid unnecessary losses,and promote the order of the government for the elderly.Health development proposes rationalization and proposes scientific advice for pension investors to effectively avoid investment risks.