Agricultural Support And Protection Subsidies And Farmers' Willingness,Behavior Of Grain Planting And Their Transformation Under Constraints

Food is the most important thing for the people.Since 2004,China has implemented a series of agricultural subsidy policies to promote agricultural development and ensure food security due to the natural weakness of agricultural production.With the long-term support,China's grain production has increased for 12 consecutive years,and farmers' income has also continued to grow.However,with the change of agricultural and rural situation,agricultural subsidy policy urgently needs adjustment and reform.In 2015,the "three subsidies" reform was first piloted in Shandong,Sichuan,Zhejiang,Hunan and Anhui province,trying to combine subsidies for improved crop varieties,direct subsidies for agricultural materials and direct subsidies for farmers into "agricultural support and protection subsidies".In May 2016,after a one-year pilot program,the reform of the "three subsidies" for agriculture was promoted across the country,with the goal of promoting protection of arable land and large-scale operation of grain.The extension of the new policy has brought about new research problems.Based on this,it is necessary to conduct in-depth research on agricultural support protection subsidies and their impacts on food production.The objective of this study is to construct a logical framework of the relationship between agricultural support and protection subsidy policy and farmers' grain-growing willingness and behavior under resource endowment constraints,to empirically analyze the impact of agricultural support and protection subsidy on farmers' grain-planting willingness and behavior,and to investigate the transformation of farmers' grain-planting willingness and behavior under resource endowment constraints.The main research contents include the following three aspects:(1)empirical analysis of the impact of agricultural support and protection subsidies on farmers' willingness to grow grain and its resource endowment constraints;(2)empirical analysis of the impact of agricultural support and protection subsidies on rice,wheat and maize planting area and its proportion,and further study of the impact of different scale of family land,topographic conditions and geographical location constraints on the above-mentioned impacts.(3)to investigate the relationship between farmers' grain growing willingness and grain growing behavior,to explore the transformation of farmers' grain growing willingness and grain growing behavior,and to analyze the reasons for their differences;(4)based on theoretical analysis and empirical analysis,draw conclusions and put forward corresponding policy recommendations.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows:(1)compared with the probability that farmers do not change the grain planting area,agricultural support and protection subsidies have a significant negative impact on the probability that farmers reduce the grain planting area,and has a significant positive impact on the probability that farmers increase the grain planting area,which indicates that agricultural support and protection subsidy generally enhance farmers' willingness to grow grain;(2)agricultural support and protection subsidies will promote farmers' willingness to grow grain under different resource endowment constraints,and the larger the scale of family land and the proportion of farmland plain area in villages,the greater the possibility of expanding the scale of grain planting,and the farmers who are closer to the suburbs are more likely to reduce the scale of grain planting;(3)aricultural support and protection subsidies have a significant positive impact on the proportion of rice,wheat and maize planted areas,that is,subsidies can effectively promote farmers to expand the proportion of rice,wheat and maize planted areas,and farmers with larger scale are more likely to increase the proportion of maize planting area when agricultural support and protection subsidies increase;(4)the impact of agricultural support and protection subsidies on rice,wheat and maize planting area is restricted by the scale of family land and topographic conditions;(5)as far as the impact of agricultural support and protection subsidies on farmers' grain planting is concerned,the willingness to grow grain is consistent with the behavior of growing grain,and the willingness to grow grain is transformed into planting behavior;the impact of scale restriction on subsidy plays a promoting role in both farmers' grain planting willingness and behavior;the impacts of terrain restriction on subsidy in the willingness and behavior of rice farmers are consistent,but to wheat and maize farmers,the planting willingness did not translate into planting behavior;to the rice,wheat and maize farmers,the influence of market capacity constraints on subsidies was inconsistent between their planting willingness and planting behavior.