Research On The Impact Of Eurasian Economic Union On Xinjiang And Eurasian Economic Union's Commodity Export Trade

Since its establishment in 2015,the Eurasian Economic Union has experienced more than four years.Through the continuous advancement of the Eurasian economic integration process,the trade effects brought about by the establishment of the Eurasian Economic Union will inevitably replace neighboring countries and regions,and China will bear the brunt.As an important gateway for China to open to the west,Xinjiang has always maintained a good trading partnership with the main positioning of the Eurasian Economic Union.Among them,Kazakhstan is Xinjiang's largest trading partner.Therefore,studying the development of the Eurasian Economic Union's development of China's Xinjiang merchandise export trade is not only conducive to promoting the development of Xinjiang merchandise export trade,but also promoting Xinjiang's influence in the international market,and it will have certain effects on the future economic and social development of Xinjiang's foreign trade.Reference value.This study first analyzes the situation of Xinjiang China merchandise export trade before and after the establishment of the Eurasian Economic Union through the current status of the development of the Eurasian Economic Union,the expected trade scale,trade growth rate and trade structure between Xinjiang China and the Union,and then explores Xinjiang China and the European Union.The Asian Economic Union fights trade competitiveness and complementarity,and then uses the Balassa model to empirically analyze the trade effects of the Eurasian Economic Union.Based on this,it analyzes the Eurasian Economic Union's impact on Xinjiang China commodities from the perspective of trade intensity and trade flow.Impact of export trade.Finally,combined with empirical analysis,the challenges and challenges brought by the Eurasian Economic Union to the development of Xinjiang China merchandise export trade are discussed.From the perspective of responding to these challenges and challenges,policy suggestions for promoting the future development of Xinjiang merchandise export trade are put forward.Through research,this article draws the following results:(1)The trade transfer effect produced by the Eurasian Economic Union is very obvious,which has brought conflict and impact to the development of Xinjiang China export trade;(2)After the establishment of the Eurasian Economic Union,Xinjiang China The tightness of the export trade to the Eurasian Economic Union and its substitutes has been weakening,indicating that the level of Xinjiang China export trade has gradually declined,and the goods imported by the Eurasian Economic Union from Xinjiang China have gradually decreased.)The export trade of goods has an adverse effect;(3)The factors affecting Xinjiang China to the Eurasian Economic Union's alternative export merchandise trade flow have two aspects: the economic scale of Xinjiang(GDP per capita)and the economic scale of importing countries(GDP per capita))It has a positive effect on the export trade of Xinjiang goods;trade,the establishment of the Eurasian Economic Union and the economic freedom index of importing countries have a significant obstacle to the export trade of Xinjiang goods.(4)The impact of the Eurasian Economic Union on the structure of Xinjiang's export commodities is reflected in the gradual increase in primary products and the decline in industrial finished products;the impact on the structure of Xinjiang's export market is reflected in the market shares of Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan,and Russia,while Substitution accounts for less.