| For the past few years,our country has been committed to promoting the transformation of government functions.In the document "Proposal of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the 14 th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development and Visionary Goals for 2035",it is clearly pointed out that we should strengthen the modernization of the national governance system and capacity,and accelerate the transformation of government functions.Transformation of government functions requires government departments to do a good job of decentralization and deconcentration,i.e,to deepen the "wide entry and strict exit" of government work standards,relax the threshold of prior entry,reduce the barriers to entry beforehand,and strengthen the ability to supervise in and after the event.Credit as a powerful grip to enhance governance,is an effective means to improve the effectiveness of supervision.In order to promote the healthy development of the transportation industry and improve the comprehensive transportation safety system,the state emphasizes the construction of a new regulatory mechanism based on credit.Based on this,from the perspective of credit,this paper studies the problems of maritime safety supervision,aiming at analyzing the factors influencing credit supervision in maritime safety supervision,discussing the role of credit management in maritime safety supervision,and providing countermeasures for improving the effectiveness of maritime credit supervision.The research in this article consists of three parts:(1)The first part is to analyze the internal influencing factors of maritime credit regulation.Through the theoretical analysis of credit management and maritime safety supervision,the effective credit information of maritime credit information disclosure system is mined,and the credit supervision factors existing in the information are analyzed based on gray theory and information entropy theory,and the degree of association between credit supervision factors and maritime credit supervision is comprehensively analyzed using gray correlation,gray correlation entropy and association coincidence methods.(2)The second part is to construct a game model of the regulatory strategy of maritime management department and the business behavior choice of shipping enterprises.Based on game theory,the traditional game model of maritime management department and shipping enterprises is constructed,and the contrast analysis method is applied to study the problem of pure and mixed strategies of government credit regulation and ship’s trustworthy operation under complete rationality,and the positive and negative correlation between probability and parameters is analyzed;on the basis of traditional game,the evolutionary game model is constructed to analyze the evolutionary and stable strategies of game subjects under the condition of limited rationality.(3)The third part is based on the system dynamics model to propose a method to enhance maritime credit regulation.Based on system dynamics,the causality diagram of maritime credit regulation system is drawn and the system flow diagram is constructed;the evolutionary game model is simulated,the factors affecting the probability of trustworthy operation of shipping enterprises are analyzed,and the strategies to improve the probability of trustworthy operation of shipping enterprises under the credit regulation of maritime management department are discussed. |