Research On The Impact Of Housing Price And Population Aging On Regional Innovation Ability

In the context of the new economic normal,innovation is the main driving force and key factor in promoting economic and social development.Regional innovation capacity has gradually become an important symbol of regional competitiveness,and all regions have vigorously promoted comprehensive innovation centered on scientific and technological innovation.As two major issues of people’s livelihood,housing prices and population aging have an impact on the full implementation of the innovation-driven development strategy by influencing government,enterprise and human innovation decisions.Based on regional heterogeneity,this article examines the impact of housing prices,population aging,and their interactions on regional innovation capabilities,and proposes differentiated policy recommendations based on the actual situation in the region.The specific research content is as follows:First,this article summarizes the basic theories of innovation and the literature on regional innovation capabilities,and sorts out the relevant researches on house prices affecting regional innovation capabilities,population aging affecting regional innovation capabilities,and population aging affecting house prices.The theoretical basis and specific research content were determined.Secondly,based on the stage of the innovation process,this paper divides regional innovation capabilities into innovation R&D capabilities and innovation transformation capabilities to measure separately.By comparing the three commonly used evaluation methods of innovation capability,the super-efficiency DEA-CCR model in the data envelope analysis method was selected as the evaluation method,and the commonly used innovation input and innovation output indicators were further selected according to the evaluation index construction principle form an evaluation index system.The measured innovation efficiency represents regional innovation capabilities,and the results show that regional innovation research and development capabilities and innovation transformation capabilities are increasing year by year.Among them,the innovation research and development efficiency is increasing rapidly,but has not yet reached the ideal state,the average national comprehensive efficiency reached only0.704 in 2017.The efficiency of innovation transformation is rising slowly,but the efficiency value of multiple regions is close to or exceeding 1,and the efficiency of innovation transformation in the eastern region is much higher than that in the central and western regions.There is a large difference in innovation efficiency among regions.Finally,this article analyzes the development of housing prices and population aging,the mechanism of their influence on regional innovation capabilities,and the inherent relationship between population aging and housing prices.It points out that where the regional economic environment,industrial structure level and human capital level are different,the impact of house prices,population aging and regional innovation capacity under the interaction of the two are different.Therefore,a panel threshold model was used to test whether house prices,population aging,and the interaction between the two have threshold effects on regional innovation R&D capabilities and innovation transformation capabilities.The results show that the improvement of the level of economic development,industrial structure,and human capital are conducive to the improvement of regional innovation R&D capabilities,while the dual constraints of housing prices and population aging have a restraining effect on regional innovation transformation capabilities,and the greater the restraining effect in areas with higher levels of economic development,industrial structure,and human capital.Based on the research conclusions,this article proposes differentiated policy recommendations for improving innovation capabilities,so as to promote the coordinated development of various regions.