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Statistical Research On The Social And Economic Effects Of Aging In Shaanxi Province

Posted on:2021-09-01Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:R X LuFull Text:PDF
GTID:2556306038977409Subject:Statistics
Abstract/Summary:
The aging of the population has become a topic of common concern to the whole society.This is not only an opportunity but also a challenge.Since the problem of population aging in Shaanxi Province entered a budding state in 1999,the problem of population aging is constantly developing and showing an upward trend.The increasingly serious problem of population aging not only affects the stable development of society,but also affects economic growth,so it is necessary to correctly understand and deal with the problem of population aging.This paper studies the economic growth effect of population aging in Shaanxi Province,which can make people understand the population aging problem in depth.If the population aging problem in Shaanxi Province reaches the highest point,timely measures can be taken to avoid irreversible impact on economic growth,Seize the opportunity of "demographic dividend" in time,and re-find the balance between population aging and economic growth.This article uses economic theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to establish an econometric model to deeply analyze the economic growth effect of Shaanxi Province since entering the population aging,and provides important theory and empirical evidence for the Shaanxi Provincial Government to respond to the hot issues of population aging in Shaanxi Province.Basis and scientific reference value.First,based on the neo-classical economic growth as the main theoretical research foundation,a generational overlap model of neo-classical economic growth with factors affecting population aging is established,and a comprehensive analysis of the basic path and mechanism mechanism factors of population aging factors influencing rapid economic growth.Then an empirical analysis of the economic growth effect of Shaanxi Province was carried out using the generational overlap model with the factor of population aging.The research results obtained show that the fertility rate of women of childbearing age in Shaanxi Province has a positive effect on economic growth;population If the average infant mortality rate and the expected life expectancy of the population are too high,it will not be conducive to the rapid growth of the economy in Shaanxi Province;the dependency ratio for the elderly population and the dependency ratio for children and teenagers have no positive effect on the economy of Shaanxi Province.However,economic growth has a certain spatiotemporal effect,so the previously established model is improved,a dynamic economic space panel measurement model with spatiotemporal effect is constructed,and the spatiotemporal effect of the economic growth of population aging in Shaanxi Province is estimated again.The estimated results show that the results of the economic effects estimated by the static panel measurement model are significant.According to the theoretical derivation and empirical analysis results of economic growth of population aging factors in Shaanxi Province,this article puts forward several policy recommendations mainly for the problem of population aging in Shaanxi Province,which includes the importance of correctly understanding the problems of population aging in Shaanxi Province.Properly adjust and relax family planning policies,establish and improve the old-age security system for residents,vigorously develop aging-related industries,and strengthen maternal and child health measures.
Keywords/Search Tags:Shaanxi Province, Population aging, Economic growth effect, Dynamic spatial econometric model
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