Research On The Identification Of Poverty Return Risks And Its Prevention Mechanism For Farmers Who Have Escaped From Poverty In Southern Shaanxi

Preventing the risk of returning to poverty and reducing the occurrence of the phenomenon of returning to poverty is the key to consolidating the results of poverty eradication and realizing rural revitalization.Accurately identifying the type of risk of returning to poverty for farmers who have escaped from poverty is the basic premise of establishing a scientific and effective mechanism for preventing the risk of returning to poverty,and it is also the key to resolving the risk.In recent years,although some poverty-removing regions have eliminated absolute poverty,some poverty-removing farmers still have the risk of returning to poverty due to complex poverty-causing factors,a weak foundation of poverty-removal,a poor natural environment,weak risk resistance,weak industrial support,a lack of science and technology,and the uncertainty of the new crown pneumonia epidemic in recent years.Some poverty-removing farmers can hardly maintain their poverty-removal status due to insufficient endogenous motivation.This study identifies and evaluates the risk of returning to poverty for farmers who have escaped from poverty based on the analysis of field survey data in southern Shaanxi,analyzes the influencing factors of the risk of returning to poverty by using the material element topology model,explores the correlation between the influencing factors by using the TISM model,and finally constructs a system for preventing the return to poverty for farmers who have escaped from poverty in order to provide policy suggestions for maintaining the achievements of poverty eradication in southern Shaanxi and preventing the return to poverty for farmers who have escaped from poverty..Due to the vulnerability of the livelihood capital of poverty-removing farmers,poverty-removing farmers still face a high risk of returning to poverty and unstable living standards,which are manifested by the fragile natural ecological environment,lack of human resources,uneven allocation of financial capital,restricted access to information resources,and single social capital.These limitations of livelihood capital make the poverty-removal outcomes less stable.On the basis of identifying the types of risk of poverty return,the main influencing factors of risk were further analyzed by using the material element topologizable model,and it was found that human risk and information risk accounted for a higher proportion of the risk indicators of poverty return for the farmers who escaped from poverty in southern Shaanxi,and further,the four indicators of health status of the members of the farmers who escaped from poverty,the risk of encountering natural disasters,environmental pollution affecting the quality of agricultural products,and social relationship network were the main obstacle factors for stable poverty release.This indicates that the imperfect policy system,the natural environment and resource endowment in poverty-removing areas,and the individual ability of poverty-removing farmers are the main influencing factors causing poverty return for poverty-removing farmers in southern Shaanxi,among which the health condition of poverty-removing farmers’ family members and the burden of supporting the elderly are the main driving forces and deep-rooted root causes of the increased risk of poverty return.This paper proposes policy recommendations for preventing the return of poverty and stabilizing the results of poverty eradication in southern Shaanxi from four aspects: poverty return monitoring,farmers’ internal motivation,public services,and joint governance of multiple subjects.In terms of monitoring the stability of poverty eradication results,firstly,we should accurately identify the types of poverty eradication risks,take measures to deal with poverty eradication risks in a graded and classified manner according to the risk assessment results,and finally,dynamically monitor the effectiveness of poverty eradication management;in terms of establishing and improving the mechanism for stimulating the endogenous motivation of farmers who have escaped from poverty,we should optimize and improve the support policies,promote the upgrading of industrial structure,and strengthen the construction of talent teams to fundamentally solve the poverty eradication risks faced by farmers who have escaped from poverty in southern Shaanxi.In establishing a sound public service mechanism,we should improve the level of public services,improve the rural governance system,weaken the impact of natural risks on farmers who have escaped from poverty,and help stabilize the results of poverty eradication.In terms of improving the multi-body linkage and synergy mechanism,we should not only strengthen the guiding role of the government but also focus on guiding individual participation and bringing into play the functions of social organizations to make up for the shortage of social resources and narrow social network of farmers in southern Shaanxi.