Application Study On Regional Dynamic Planning And Control System

Along with the regional economic development, the acceleration of the industrialization and the advance of the urbanization, many problems become more serious, such as the protection of the environment, the usage of the resources, the human-earth relations, etc., and the regional planning has become one of the most important methods to harmonize the development of the region and to solve the bottleneck in the development process. For the traditional tools and methods can not accommodate to the new circumstance, the focus of the regional planning has changed from the sole economy target to the integrated target of the society, economy and environment, the method of the regional planning has changed from the qualitative analysis to the systematic and quantitative analysis, such as System Engineering, Multi-Objective Planning, Geography Information System, etc., and the result has also changed from one static plan to a series of dynamic plan. Under this background, the dissertation studied about the theory and application of the Regional Dynamic Planning and Control System (RDPCS), which can synthetically consider the effects of the society, economy and environment and provide a dynamic, continuous and endless support for the regional planning by systematical comparing the simulation model and reference model. The primary regional plan can be adjusted according to its execution and the change of the environment with the RDPCS, thus the integrative targets of the region could be achieved step by step and the regional competence could be improved continually.Firstly, the fundamental theory of the RDPCS was put forward. Through the discussion and analysis of the theory about regional planning, regional economy, cycling economy and sustainable development, the meaning,the principle and the structure of the RDPCS were presented, which established the stable theory foundation of the RDPCS. Secondly,the theory and mechanism of the System Dynamics (SD) in RDPCS were introduced and the way to build the simulation model was described. The target and principle of the simulation model of RDPCS were provided, and the whole structure, system boundary, the relations between sub-systems, main variables, the cause and effect feed back circles and the export and respond system of the model were also presented. Then, the reference model of the RDPCS was studied in this dissertation. The significance and approach of the reference model were showed and the method to build the reference region set was addressed. Based on the summarization and comparison of the current region evaluation methods, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method was chosen, the decision-making units and evaluation indicator system were presented, and the reference region was evaluated by the Super-Efficiency DEA model. After calculating the benchmark of the model, this dissertation put forward the method to establish the reference model of RDPCS by using the trend forecast model. Finally, the research about the application of the RDPCS in K region was provided and the effectiveness of the system was demonstrated. The PDPCS reflected the development of K region preferably and objectively and help the government realize the decision-making support and dynamic management about regional planning.