Development Strategy Research Of Regional Low-carbon Economy In China

Global climate change has already become an indisputable fact, it has developedas a global issue which is threatening the existence and development of human being.Many countries has started to cope with climate change by taking positive discussionand practice since80s last century, the effective approach was not found untillow-carbon economy was proposed in recent years. The over-exploitation onenvironment of industrial economy and other artificial factors in China has madeurbanization and climate change intertwine with each other in a dangerous way, whichrequires China to change the existing extensive method of economic growth andpromote low-carbon economic development. In order to achieve this, China setspecific objective that the carbon emission intensity must decrease by40percent to45percent in2020based on2005, which has been included into China’s12th Five-yearPlan. A series of national policies and regulations came out sequentially, setting cleartarget of whole economic transformation, and the specific implementation ofprovinces will become the key of low carbon economic transition in China. Based onthis background, this dissertation starts the research on low-carbon economydevelopment of China region. The specific contents and conclusions are as follows:1. Analyzed the related research at home and abroad. This dissertation stretchedconnotation of low carbon economy from regional economic evolution and regionalsustainable development. Low-carbon economy is regarded as a carbon removalprocess of economic developing, it has strict carbon emission constrain and its maingoal is to coordinate relationship among regional economic development, emissionreduction targets and human development to achieve regional sustainabledevelopment.2. This dissertation defines regional low-carbon economy efficiency according tothe connotations of low-carbon economy and eco-efficiency theory, and builds theDEA evaluation model of regional low-carbon economy efficiency. ChooseSuper-SBM model, which have the characteristics of non-radial and constant returnsto scale, to improve the accuracy of the DEA evaluation, carbon productivity and HDIas output indicators to fully reflect the economic, environmental and humanities goals of regional low-carbon development. By means of this model, this dissertationanalyses and compares the low-carbon economy efficiency’s evolution law of Chinaand the southern, northern, western region during the year of1995to2010, finds thatthe China’s overall low-carbon economy efficiency shows “N” shape and theefficiency gap between the eastern central and western regions is not obvious.Through integrate regional human development index (HDI), this dissertation gets theconclusion that the China’s overall low-carbon development level is relatively low.Further, this dissertation combines the China’s30provinces’ low-carbon economyefficiency values with their HDI indicators of2010, evaluates the low-carboneconomic development levels of the provinces. Then this dissertation divides China’s30provinces into the low-carbon economy development area, the middle-carboneconomy development area of low efficiency, the middle-carbon economydevelopment area of low investment, and the high-carbon economy development areaaccording to the low-carbon economic development levels. Then combine with theregional status, put forward the objectives and strategies of regional low-carbondevelopment of these regions.3. Set Tianjin as an example, this dissertation analyses the realizing route oflow-carbon economy in specific regions. Firstly, this dissertation calculates the CO2emission coefficients of China’s energy through combing the IPCC energy emissioncoefficients with the actual calorific values of China’s energy, and regards the Kayaidentical equation as the base model to forecast the regional carbon emissions, so as toprovide a simple and feasible calculation method for regional carbon emissioncalculation and scenario analysis in China; Secondly, Based on the detailed analysisof Tianjin’s history and current status in carbon emissions, this dissertation calculatesthe carbon emissions of2010to2050in Tianjin though scenario analysis, put forwardthe future economic development path of Tianjin; Finally, combined with aboveanalysis, this dissertation proposes the stage emission reduction strategy. According tothe carbon emission status of Tianjin’s production, building and transport, thisdissertation provides the specific countermeasures for the future development oflow-carbon production, low-carbon building and low-carbon transport in Tianjin. Theresearch of Tianjin provides research methods and specific countermeasures to otherprovinces which are in the late stage of urbanization as Tianjin.4. European Union (EU), Tokyo and Berkeley are chosen as the typical cases oflow-carbon economic development according to the regional administrative scale. It mainly analyzes EU low-carbon development system as well as Tokyo and Berkeleyspecific measures of regional low-carbon transition. Taking foreign developed regionsas benchmark, we are about to establish regional low-carbon economic developmentsupportive system by combining our current low-carbon economic developmentsituation and typical experience.