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The Structural Dividend Of Total Factor Productivity Promotion In County Area

Posted on:2020-11-21Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:X T SunFull Text:PDF
GTID:1369330590488469Subject:Agricultural Economics and Management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
The strategy that China develops the industrial economy and the urban economy for a long time has made the county economy unequal and weak.In recent years,under the background of adjusting the economy structure,the county economy has gradually occupied the half of the whole national economy,it is not only an important support of China's miracle economic growth,but also an important force of China's national economic growth.The county government also attaches great importance to the country economic development.According to the theory of the classical economic growth,the two sources of China's county economic growth are the accumulation of input factors and the promotion of total factor productivity.Under the background of new normal economic development,TFP has become the must way to develop county economy.Scholars believe that upgrading the industrial structures is a new source to promote TFP.The bias of technological progress is the main driving force of industrial restructuring.Based on theoretical analysis,three problems in this paper are whether the bias of technological progress will have an impact on the industrial structure upgrading? Does the upgrading of industrial structure have an impact on the promotion of total factor productivity in the country? Is there a structural bonus in the county economy? So how does the technical progress bias affect the county domain structure dividend?This article is divided into eight chapters,and the main research can be summarized into two parts.This part is the theoretical analysis.It is made of the theoretical analyses and mathematical models.First,the article attempts to analyze the structural bonus problem of the promotion of China's county total factor productivity in theoretically,the impact of industrial structure on China's total factor productivity,it also analyses the influences that promoting the industry structures brings to the country's total factor productivity,and it shows that the effects that technological progress bias that has on the upgrading of China's county industrial structure.Secondly,the essay establishes a mathematical model to analyze the problems of the structural bonus in China's county,to analyse the influences of total factor productivity promotion,the impacts of the upgrading of technological progress bias on China's county industrial structure.Finally,the measurement model and method used in this paper are analyzed.Here is the Empirical analysis.First of all,the essay describes these data of the per GDP in Chinese 1 869 counties,the total factor productivity,the industrial structure and technological progress bias index;secondly,the essay collects the data of Chinese 1 869 County to analyse the spatial spillover effect of technical progress bias by using the Moran s' I index,to find the influence on the industrial structure of technical progress bias by applying the spatial panel SARAR model,and to test the empirical results steadily;and then,the essay applies the spatial panel SARAR model to test the total factor productivity by using the Meta-Malmquist index,applies the spatial panel SARAR model to measure the effect that the industrial structure has on the county's total factor productivity,and tests the empirical results steadily;finally,the paper analyses the influence on the bonus of country structure that the technological progress brings by using spatial panel SARAR model,and the empirical results by the steady test.According to the results of the empirical analysis,the essay shows that:First,the bias index of Chinese county's Harold technical progress is positive,namely from 2002 to 2014 technical progress is more biased to the capital;the annual changes of TFP is 0.75%,meanwhile the contribution of technological progress to the total factor productivity is greater than the contribution of technical efficiency to the total factor productivity.Second,the technological progress bias of Chinese country significantly exists the spatial spillover effect,namely that the country whose technological progress prefers to the capital(labors)nears to the country whose technological progress is biased to the capital(labors);the industrial structure of Chinese country also significantly exists the spatial spillover effect,that is the Chinese country in the higher level of industrial structure nearing to the Chinese country in higher level of industrial structure.Third,the technological progress is bias towards the capital,and is conducive to promoting the advanced industrial structure of Chinese country,the technological progress is bias to the labor,that is not conducive to promoting the industrial structure to be advanced;the technological progress is bias towards the capital,it will make the industrial structure of Chinese country the rationalization;the technological progress is bias to the labor,it will hardly make the industrial structure of Chinese country to be rationalize.Through the correlation test,the essay finds that the conclusion is still stable.Fourth,there is a dynamic equilibrium effect of industrial structure in the process of improving the County TFP,namely the industrial structure rationalization level that is improved will promote the development of the county total factor productivity;there doesn't have factor reallocation effect,namely improving the advanced level of industrial structure has hindered the promotion of County TFP.Through the correlation test,the essay finds that the conclusion is still stable.Fifth,according to the structural bonus calculated by TFP,China's County economic totally exists the "structural dividend ".Technological progress biased towards capital helps to improve the structural bonus of counties,and technological progress biased towards labor is not conducive to improving the structural bonus of counties.Through the correlation test,it is found that the conclusion is still stable.According to the empirical analysis above,in order to form a "market effective,government,enterprise position and people benefit" situation,several policy suggestions are put forward:First,according to policy guidance,the government should adjust the technical structures of the county to improve the industrial structure of the county;second,according to the factors the country has,the government should import the technology to improve the efficiency of production factors,and then to promote the upgrading of the industrial structure;third,the government should pay full attention to the guiding role of technology progress deviation on industrial structure in some countries whose economic level is relatively high and human capital level is relatively high;in some countries that has lower economic development level and human capital level,the government should actively attract the talent technology or industry to adapt local elements;fourth,the reasonable industrial structure is the main power to upgrade the total factor productivity efficiency;while the upgrading of the industrial structure is not the main driving force to upgrade the total factor productivity efficiency;fifth,the county should actively adapt to the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure,to promote the adjustment of industrial structure to be reasonable;sixth,the government should give full play to the role of science and technology,and promote the rational allocation of elements,and then release the county's structure bonus.
Keywords/Search Tags:County Economy, TFP, Structural Bonus, Industrial Structure, Technological Progress Bias
PDF Full Text Request
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