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Effect Of Adjusting Agricultural Structure On Cereal Production And Farmers' Income In ShanXian County

Posted on:2005-09-22Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y Q GuoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2156360122989335Subject:Crop Cultivation and Farming System
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
Adjusting the rural economic structure and ensuring stable cereal production is a major task at the new stage as regard to the agriculture in our country. The problem of grain security is arised in the area where the grain is produced overwhelmingly in the process of adjusting the agricultural structure. An example of Shanxian county in Henan province is given to research the effect of the adjustment in agriculrural structure on the farmers' income and cereal production in the dissertation in order to make a strategic decision.At present, ShanXian county belong to the traditional rural area. The proportion agricultural value is higher 17.7 percent than average level of all round our country in 2001.The proportion of fanning system value is 74.38% percent, which is higher 12.48 percent than that of Henan province and 19.8 percent than average level of all round our county. The proportion of poultry value is lower 13.4 percent than that of Henan Province and 19.9 percent than average level of our country.The secondary and the third industry develops very slowly too.The readjustment of agricultural structure has effect on cereal prodution and the farmers' income : 1)Farming system is readjusted very quickly in the past ten years.The proportion of vegetable value is incerased by 14 percent,fruit by 10.3%; 2)The grain production is decreased by 48.6% percent from 1987 to 2002. The per capita grain yield is 108 kilogram in 2002. Attention to the problem of cereal security is paid once more. 3)The farmers' income is increased by 33% in process pf adjusting of the agricultural structure from 1993 to 2002.The paper is based on the predict model that include three kinds of schema by way of liner planning. Each of the optimization model is put forward to achieve the economic and social profits .The first schema is the grain security model, by which 193 million kilogram of commodity will be supplied and the per capita grain yield is 717 kilogram in 2010.In this model 12.86 million kilogram net fertilizer is needed and the cost will reach 122 million yuan. The rate of increase in cereal production is 0.8 percent .The second model is the grain-feedstuff model, by which 68 million kilogram grain for fodder and 72.2 million kilogram of commodity will be supplied and the peasants' income is most.. In this model 5.78 million kilogram net fertilizer is needed and the cost will reach 87.02 million yuan. The farmers' income from the farming system will reach 2507 yuan by way of the grain-vegetable model that is the third model. In this model 16.21 million kilogram net fertilizer is needed and the cost will reach 150 million yuan .The grain product advantage must be taken in the process of optimizing the farming structure .The raising and the secondary or the third industry may be developed by the growth of the primary industry. The sustained and stable increase in farmers' income will be acquired. The fund must be given and the policy must be formulated to support the region in order that the fanners' income is increased and the cereal production is secured.
Keywords/Search Tags:agricultural structure, optimization, farmers' income., grain product
PDF Full Text Request
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