Forecast And Analysis Of The Labor Supply And Demand Of Qingdao In The Next 3 Years

Objective obtaining employment is the root of the people' slivelihood. Every laborer can be guaranteed a job or a labor chance is a great invent connected with the national economy and the people' s livelihood. China has entered a peak age from 2003 which will keep on 8 years. The new increasing work force will be 24million. Therefore Qingdao will have to be in face of the biggish employment pressure due to it' s great population base. The employment issue must be a protrudent contradiction.Qingdao City' s government has attached great importance to enhance work chances. It has entirely carried out the CPC's guideline and policy, and has established a perfect promotion policy system which serves as the market-oriented employment mechanism. It has enlarged the scope of employment , regulated the employment framework and kept the whole stabilization. Last year, The speed increment about employment went beyond the speed increment about unemployment. Other targets related at the employment have been achieved and the historical record has been refurbished.But at the same time, the employment in Qingdao is confronted with many problems. The economy innovation will be more deepened and the regulation degree of the economy framework will be more increased from 2005₂007. After China's entry into WTO, the competition of home market must prick up. This will add the contradiction and the pressure of the employment. Mostly as 1.The conflict that labor force supply is more thandemand will be increased , especially in the next 3 years . 2. The conflict of the employment framework will be increased along with the increasing regulation degree . 3. The making of the whole labor force doesn' t adapted to the need of the economy development and science progression. The text tells the result of the forecasting , makes an analysis about employment tendency, brings forward countermeasures and makes suggestions to promote obtaining employment in Qingdao .This report is going to offer the department at all levels a scientific bases of decision-makings.Methods The letterpress selected historical datum about Qingdaoeconomy from 1995 in which the new district was measured off to 2004. Depending on the direction of the social economy , choosing GDP(Gross Domestic Product), the amount capital assets of the whole society and labor productivity as variable , I use the Nonlinear Multiple Regression Models to forecast the demand of labor force . The text tells the result of the forecasting , makes an analysis about employment tendency , brings forward countermeasures and makes suggestions to promote obtaining employment in Qingdao.Result The contradiction that labor force supply is adequate to meet the demand will be much in evidence in the next 3years. The structure of work force has changed a lot . The work force demand in Primary industry drops off while it goes up gradually in Tertiary industry .The unemployment issue is in evidence . There is large amounts of the townsman who is difficult to obtain employment .There is a falsehood lack of common labor force supply because of the chilly relationship between the employee and the employer.Countermeasure and suggestion It needs to take measures in manyways to settle the important issue . First, the stratagem about "obtaining employment is first" must be brought into effect on the base of steady development of economy . Second, the potence in taking up an occupation in each country and town has to be dredged up depending on the development plan as whole .Third, Tertiary industry should be developed quickly in order to take up more occupations . Fourth, the ministry industry is going to be a main domain to enlarge the employees . Fifth, the folk—operation economy must be developed vigorously to broaden the employment market . Sixth, the ability of obtaining employment and adapting to the variation of occupation should be improved by strengthening the occupation training and employment service . Seventh, the system of employment service should be construct so as to make it have more important effect to take up occupation .Eighth, multi—measures should be adopted to promote the unemployed man to obtain employment. Ninth, the undergraduate colony will be guided and piloted to obtain employment. Last but not the least, the execution of labor law must be reinforced to maintenance the order of work force market.