The Analysis And Appraise Of The Freightage Comprehensive Transportation System Of The Fujian Province

The traffic and transportation is a foundation of national economy as well as a guide industry. At the very peak time of economic construction in our country, the development of the traffic and transportation must walk in the front of other trades, and even becoming a leading one. Comprehensive transportation is the outcome when economy develops to some degree, and it plays an important role in the development of national economy. The comprehensive transportation system is consisted of two aspects: passenger and freightage comprehensive transportation system. According to the context and characteristic of the freightage comprehensive transportation system in Fujian Province, this text carries on comprehensive appraisal from the economy , society and ecology . Furthermore, it puts forward progressive proposals to reforms of the comprehensive transportation in structure.First of all , considering the concept of the existing comprehensive transportation system both at home and abroad , the paper define and analyze the comprehensive transportation system, and then state the goals and meaning for developing the comprehensive transportation system.Secondly, concerning with the overview of natural economy and developing course of transportation industry in Fujian Province, the thesis analyze the characteristics of every kind of transportation and current situation of the freightage comprehensive transportation system in Fujian Province, thus it pointed out the major problems in this system, the traffic and transportation structure is still unreasonable, the traffic infrastructure is relatively backward, the facilities are adjusted consummately, the regional traffic infrastructure is irrational, the management system of the traffic and transportation system is in chaos , the investment management system falls behind, etc.. The factors of influencing development of the freightage comprehensive transportation system of Fujian Province are 6 in summary, they are economic developmental level, systematic reform , transportation policy , technological progress , sustainable development , natural geography and energy condition , etc.. Basing on traffic volume, it adopts the gray system method and three index smooth method to predict the " eleven five " and the volume of freightage of 2015 and rotation volume of freightage, then it gets fairly good result.Thirdly , 15 indexes were chosen to set up the evaluation index system of the freightage comprehensive transportation from economic , social and ecological benefits, and the indexes were analyzed and evaluated. For appraisal of the freightage comprehensive transportation system is multigoals and multilevel, according to the characteristic of different appraisal methods, the thesis selects multigoal Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation models as a frame, and confirms the index weight with the Analytic Hierarchy Process to set up the Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model.Last but not least, combining the current situation of the freightage comprehensive transportation system of Fujian Province, the paper confirms four projects, and selects five-grade evaluation sets, adopts the half-ladder distributed function and linear trigonometry to confirm quantitative index as the jurisdiction of function, calculates every index weight by using the AHP method, and further select the fuzzy operator of " weighted average type " for use and carry on comprehensive evaluation to the freightage comprehensive transportation system of Fujian Province. At last , analyze with the principle of grading prove that the existing freightage transportation structure is in worse rank in the result. Meanwhile, the paper regulates the direction which reduces highway transportation of freight transportation structure and increases the share of the railway and waterway carrier, keeps or improves the weight of air transportation slightly. And then, state the construction of the goods' transportion system of Fujian Province: Regarding railway transportation as backbones, sea transportation as a tap, highway transportation and inland water transportation are networks, develop civil air transportion and pipeline transportation in a proper way.