| This paper mainly predicts the changes in industrial structure of China by observing the regional variation of migrant labors. Observation time of the regional labor migration in China is historical period 1990â€2007. Firstly the author calculate migrant mobility through method of calculating of Johnson D Gale (1999), confirm the migration rate is effective compared with the World Bank's estimates. Then use the theory of Lewis dual structure to discuss the problem that whether the weakening of migration was caused by the arrival of Lewis turning point with the evaluation indicators "Marginal productivity of labor". And then use the Economic Geography Theory to answer the second question that where would they migrant to. According to the theory of Economic Geography the wellâ€developed area would attract more labor. Then the author discovered that there is consistency between the area change of Secondâ€Industry and migrant. Then combined with the transport costs, the author infer that China will transfer from exportâ€oriented economy led to domesticâ€marketâ€oriented. So the author predicted that the Midwest will usher in new opportunities with lowâ€labor resources and convenient transport infrastructure. |