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China's Industrial Structure Has Changed From The Regional Variation Of Labor Migration

Posted on:2012-02-21Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:Q DiaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2199330338491638Subject:Development Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
This paper mainly predicts the changes in industrial structure of China by observing the regional variation of migrant labors. Observation time of the regional labor migration in China is historical period 1990‐2007. Firstly the author calculate migrant mobility through method of calculating of Johnson D Gale (1999), confirm the migration rate is effective compared with the World Bank's estimates. Then use the theory of Lewis dual structure to discuss the problem that whether the weakening of migration was caused by the arrival of Lewis turning point with the evaluation indicators "Marginal productivity of labor". And then use the Economic Geography Theory to answer the second question that where would they migrant to. According to the theory of Economic Geography the well‐developed area would attract more labor. Then the author discovered that there is consistency between the area change of Second‐Industry and migrant. Then combined with the transport costs, the author infer that China will transfer from export‐oriented economy led to domestic‐market‐oriented. So the author predicted that the Midwest will usher in new opportunities with low‐labor resources and convenient transport infrastructure.
Keywords/Search Tags:migrant, LewisInflectionpoint, Industrystructure
PDF Full Text Request
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