| Since the20th century, global warming as the main feature of the global climate change has caused widespread international concern. In recent years, China advocate the development of low-carbon economy in order to change the mode of economic development and established resource-saving and environment-friendly society. Zhejiang attached great importance to the development of low-carbon economy, and has made some initial success in optimizing energy structure, improving energy efficiency, promote industrial upgrading, but a low-carbon economy still face enormous pressure to energy saving, and compare to low-carbon economy developed areas in China, there is a big gap. Therefore, making analysis of low-carbon economic development of the main factors, establishing a scientific and reasonable evaluation index system for low-carbon and low carbon development for Zhejiang Province, horizontal and vertical comparison, in this based on the targeted policy recommendations, has some theoretical and practical significance for the objective evaluation and promotion of low-carbon economy on Zhejiang Province.The text is divided into seven chapters:The Chapter â… is introductory part. Introduces the research background, topics of significance, research ideas, research methods, the main innovation and international literature review; The Chapter â…¡ is the theoretical basis of this paper, describe the theoretical basis of low-carbon economy, the basic concept and its main impact factors; The Chapter â…¢ using the1990-2009years of economic development, carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption data in Zhejiang Province. Based on these data, from the decoupling and the inverted "U"-shaped curve relationship describe the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in Zhejiang Province; Chapter IV based on the main factors affecting the development of low-carbon economy theoretical analysis, based on the key drivers of carbon emissions, energy consumption into carbon emissions, industrial structure, energy consumption structure, urbanization, international trade division of labor variables, using the extended model STIRPAT research the main factors of affecting carbon emissions of Zhejiang Province with an empirical study; Chapter V aim to build a comprehensive evaluation system of low carbon economy, including evaluation methods, indicators of construction principles, indicators and other aspects of the preliminary design; Chapter VI based on the comprehensive evaluation system, using the2009low-carbon economy of China's provinces and cities data, assigned weights for comprehensive evaluation system of low-carbon economy indicators, calculated on the basis of factor scores. Based on the scores of each region to rank the level of low-carbon economy, while theoretical analysis of the ranking results, and based on the results of a comprehensive evaluation of low-carbon economic development of Zhejiang Province, the status of the horizontal and vertical comparison; Chapter VII is the summary of this paper, and from low-carbon energy policy, low-carbon technology policy, industrial policy, low carbon, low-carbon consumer policy and other aspects of the transition to a low carbon economy key policies, and believe that the development of low-carbon economy also requires to build government, business and public multi-partite governance structure of low-carbon economy, and finally the research prospects.Through theoretical research and empirical analysis, the basic conclusions are as follows:Conclusion1:Impact of low-carbon economic development of the main factors include changes in population size and structure, level of economic development, technological advances, energy consumption and energy efficiency, carbon emissions, energy consumption, industrial structure, urbanization and international trade division of labor, etc..Conclusion2:1990-2009, there are weak decoupling between years and growth link two states in Zhejiang Province, separated from the state in general are weak. In recent years, there is a gradual decline trend in the value of flexibility in decoupling; By examining the economic development of Zhejiang Province, and carbon emissions in the three inverted "U" shaped curve relationship. Found in/hejiang Province is currently in the peak intensity of carbon emissions per capita carbon emissions to peak in the late stage of phase, and per capita carbon emissions will soon reach the peak.Conclusion3:Population, economic development, energy intensity, energy consumption per unit of carbon emissions, energy consumption structure change on carbon emissions, per capita carbon emissions have a significant positive impact. Per capita GDP growth, population growth, growth on carbon emissions showed positive effects, while energy intensity, energy consumption and carbon emissions performance of the negative effects of urbanization changes; per capita GDP growth on the growth of carbon emissions per capita showed a significant positive effect while energy intensity, energy consumption per unit of carbon emissions, industrial structure, energy consumption structure and changes in net exports to GDP showed a negative effect.Conclusion4:From the vertical perspective, the economic environment in Zhejiang Province, the tertiary industry is in fast growing, but the secondary industry is still dominant; The low-carbon natural resource endowment is good Zhejiang Province, but poor in energy resources; low-carbon development with good policy environment; The way of low-carbon consumption get the initial expression, but still showed high carbonation. Energy environment, economic development momentum in the near future still need energy boost, but the Optimize energy consumption structure has been initially reflected; Zhejiang Province in the waste water, solid waste management area developed rapidly, but in the development of waste management and utilization was lag. From the horizontal point of view, the level of low-carbon economy in Zhejiang Province among the highest in the country, but in comparison with the major provinces and cities as Shanghai, Beijing and other developed areas of low-carbon economy, there are still many gaps.Innovation of this paper as follows:First, Fully explore the impact of carbon emissions of a country or region of the main factors from population size and structure, level of economic development, industrial structure, urbanization, energy efficiency, energy consumption structure, technological progress, international trade division of labor, etc.Second, Using the1990-2009year's data of economic development, carbon dioxide emissions and energy consumption in Zhejiang Province. Based on these data, from the decoupling and the inverted "U"-shaped curve relationship describe the relationship between economic development and carbon emissions in Zhejiang Province, clear the stage of the development of low-carbon economy in Zhejiang.Third, According to the content of low-carbon economy and the main factors of carbon emissions, draw on the international measure, focusing on building a low carbon economy evaluation index system. Use of the evaluation system, evaluated the comprehensive level of low-carbon economic development of30regions of China in2009, based on rank scores, and Analysis ranking the results with a theoretical analysis. |
