"scene - Response" Type Of Unconventional Emergency Plan And Evaluation Research

With the rapid development of society, the pattern of the world multi-polarization and complex, leading to the emergency period the frequency and happen in scale increase gradually. At the same time in the social system of organization degree increase constantly, and constantly improve the complex degree, different social subsystem and the dependence of the relationship between the more closely. General emergency evolution for highly dangerous and the severity of the abnormal events also is more easily. However unconventional emergency management and the traditional sense of emergency management crisis management, consequence management are different from the traditional "prediction-deal with" mode to may not apply to unconventional emergency management, need to "scenario-deal with" mode to change. Therefore this paper will combine existing theoretical basis,use "scenario-deal with" as the foundation on irregular incident began research focuses on the discussion and analysis of emergency plan and unconventional effect evaluation of two parts.First of all, the paper summarized and analyzed based on the theory of the existing literature in the situation, the ideal situation, scenario elements, scenario performance concept and connotation of the analysis of research, made clear the unconventional emergencies in emergency decision-making and management of the scenario evolution mechanism. Then the "scenario-deal with" type of emergency plan unconventional disposition to describe the whole process of the, exploring unconventional emergency scheme selection method, and further discusses the evolution of the unusual situation based on emergency scheme optimization and adjustment of the way.At the same time, through to the "scenario-deal with" type of emergency plan of unconventional effect evaluation system based on the understanding of the effect of emergency plan evaluation ideas are described, and the effect of emergency plan analysis paper assessment of the assessment process. Set up the "scenario-deal with" type abnormal emergency plan implementation effect evaluation index system, aimed at the evaluation index of the multi-level structure characteristics and the evaluation experts are not unique characteristics, based on the model of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to evaluate the emergency plan.Finally, using the nanchong city of sichuan province in the "5.12" in the wenchuan earthquake emergency plan adopted by the real case, the fourth chapter established effect evaluation index system and effect evaluation model example analysis shall, from the actual cases to confirm the index system and the validity of the model and scientific, and the full text in logical structure form coherent.