Empirical Study On The Influence Of Industrial Products’ Export To Carbon Emission In China

With the continuous increase of China’s economy, the foreign trade whichstimulates the economic growth as one of the troika has developed greatly. However,while the rank in the countries of the total economy is rising, China’s energyconsumption and carbon dioxide emissions are increasing. In2010, China’s carbonemissions have been the largest, and energy consumption also ranked the second inthe world. As a major exporter, our main export products are industrial products,while the industrial sectors are the high energy consumption and carbon emissionones. Therefore, the export-driven growth model of economy is facing increasingpressure to reduce emissions.In this thesis, I will select twenty-four major industrial sectors and analyze thecarbon emissions theoretically and empirically in the process of energy consumptionon the base of relevant research. First of all, I review and evaluate the research of bothdomestic and foreign scholars on the impacts of economic development and exporttrade to carbon emissions. Secondly, with the accurate data, I discuss the reality statusof the problem in terms of trade, energy consumption and carbon emissions, whichmake the basis to the subsequent empirical research. Then, I calculate the size andintensity of the industrial sub-sectors’ carbon emission in the way of the input-outputmethod. And I analyze the impacts of scale, structure and technology to the industrialexport sectors’ carbon emission. Meanwhile, I put the Horizontal and BackwardLinkage effects into the analysis to study their effects to the carbon emission with apanel data model, whose conclusions are consistent with the expected ones. Finally, Iconclude the findings and make some appropriate policy recommendations. So thestudy’s conclusions show that the carbon emission of China’s industrial export sectorsis increasing with the expansion of export trade’s scale. In2002, the scale of annualtotal carbon emission is867million tons,2064million in2005and2425million in2007, the proportion of the total carbon emission is rising. The Scale effect and theStructure effect both increase the carbon emission, while the Technology effectimproves the status. And the effect of the Scale effect is much more than that of theTechnology effect. Therefore, the overall carbon emissions of industrial export sectorsare rising. Then, the Horizontal Linkage effect, R&D investment and proportion of thestate-owned enterprise affect the emission negatively, while the Backward Linkage effect, the level of competition and foreign investment positively.In the last part, I provide a few practical policy proposals forward on the basis ofprevious studies. As follows: accelerate the process of the industry and energyconsumption structures’ optimization and upgrading; to adjust the export product mixand change the mode of trade development; to strengthen the international economicand technological cooperation, and speed up the development of low-carbon economy;to provide legal and institutional protection for it, and so on.