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An Empirical Analysis In Industrial Structure On Economic Growth Effect From Nanchuan District

Posted on:2014-06-16Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J HaoFull Text:PDF
GTID:2269330392972357Subject:Applied statistics
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In the process of modern economic growth, industrial structure plays a veryimportant role, in this process, economic growth and industrial structure changes topromote each other, and the continuous development. The change of industrial structureis not only the necessary condition of modern social and economic growth, but also theinevitable demand of sustained economic growth. In2012, faced with the complicatedsituation and difficult challenges, Nanchuan District of Chongqing city in transitionzone as the main line, the economy maintained a good momentum of steady growth.According to statistics, Nanchuan District accumulated throughout the year to achieve17618000000yuan gdp. Sub-industries, industrial structure for the three17.7:47.4:34.9,the synchronous growth of the industry. Among them, industrial added value of3119000000yuan, an increase of5.3%; the two industry added value of8348000000yuan, an increase of9.9%; realize the added value of6152000000yuan three industry,growth of16.5%. Based on this, in order to speed up economic construction NanchuanNanchuan District, and promote sound and rapid development of economy in theoptimization of the industrial structure, this paper analyses from two aspects of theeffect of industrial structure on economic growth.1, respectively in the direction changeand speed change structure of structure of the empirical analysis of economic growth intwo aspects, test, co-integration test, impulse response function and other methods todiscuss and analyze the two variable factors impact on the economy by using unit root;2, in three industry growth and the growth of economic analysis to study each industryfor economic growth contribution and influence.An empirical study on the analysis of the results showed that:1the change ofindustrial structure and the industrial structure change of direction of speed of growth ispositively correlated with economic output. The2industrial structure of rate of changeof total economic impact on the industrial structure changes with respect to the directionof the economic impact is more stable.3, Nanchuan District, second industries in thethree major industries, the largest proportion of the tertiary industry, the proportion isexpected to grow. The increase in total economic growth rate of4in Nanchuan districtand the tertiary industry value growth rate of the most close to, impact on the overalleconomic level of the tertiary industry’s biggest growth. Therefore, put forward thedevelopment direction of the adjustment of industrial structure in Nanchuan District:1 in the precondition of the development of intensive work, vigorously develop the capitaland technology intensive industry, as far as possible to play a role in promotingeconomic growth in the.2, promote technological progress and independent innovationability, focus on high-tech and traditional industries combined dielectric, will be thesecond industry as the strategic focus of employment.3, vigorously develop the tertiaryindustry, and gradually increase the proportion of the tertiary industry in the industry intotal, the government and the society should improve the conditions for thedevelopment of the tertiary industry and help the.4to improve the education systemconstruction, strengthen talent education, second, three industry sufficient humanresources to provide protection; construction of5strategic emerging industries, promotethe upgrading of the industrial structure, the realization of economic modernization.
Keywords/Search Tags:economic growth, industry direction changes, Industrial structure, thechange of industrial structure, NanChuan of ChongQing
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