Economy And The Marine Environment Study On The Sustainable Development Of Liaoning Coastal Economic Belt

Liaoning coastal economic belt is located in an important position in the Bohai rim region,is the key region of Northeast Asia economic circle, resource endowments excellent,industrial strength, advanced transport system, the development of the revitalization of thenortheast old industrial base, improving the layout of our coastal economy, promotingcoordinated regional development and opening wider to the outside world, has importantstrategic significance. However, with the development of economy and the coordinateddevelopment of the marine environment bottleneck effect of rising, the marine environmenthas increasingly become the space carrier of pollution output and environmental emission.Because the domestic sewage and industrial wastewater emissions, pollution emissions,expand the bad effect, pollution control efforts is not enough in the marine ecological disaster,biodiversity reduction and aquaculture production sharply, seriously affected the overall levelof economic development of Liaoning coastal economic belt. In2010May, LiaoningProvince, the eleven session of the seventeenth meeting of the NPC Standing Committee putforward the "Liaoning coast is not only the construction of the economic belt, but also do agood job of the sea, to vigorously develop the circular economy, but also to strengthen theprotection of the ecological environment, promote the marine resources reasonabledevelopment as the premise, to science, moderate use of sea sea with the sea, as the basiccriteria, in accordance with the sustainable use of functional sequence of marine functionalzones of marine resources." It is not difficult to see, to restrict the marine environment withsustainable economic development of Liaoning coastal economic has attracted the attention ofall levels of government departments, the coordination of research has become a hot spot ofmarine environment of academic and management research. In order to make the economicdevelopment and the marine environment and realize sustainable development, based on thetheory of technology must make evaluation on its, utilization and protection of scientificmethods to guide the marine environment, so as to meet the economic development needs, isvery important to realize the coordination of Liaoning coastal economic zone economy andmarine environment development.Based on this, this paper uses the qualitative and quantitative methods, on marine resourcesand environmental constraints, the problems of Liaoning economy and sustainable development of marine environment in coastal economic zone were studied. By using theenvironmental Kuznets curve, the variable fuzzy recognition model, spatial econometricanalysis model, wavelet analysis, system dynamics method, empirical research combined withthe actual situation of Liaoning coastal economic zone, and put forward the correspondingsuggestions on the case of economy and marine development regulation of Liaoning coastalfuture. The specific contents are as follows:(1) of the coastal economic belt of LiaoningThrough the qualitative study of Liaoning coastal economic and marine environment,development, economic development and marine environmental changes associated with theLiaoning coastal economic zone, discusses the change of each stage of economic developmentand the marine environment, analysis of the adjustment of Liaoning coastal economic zoneeconomy and marine environmental policy, research on Liaoning coastal economic zoneeconomy and sustainable development of the marine environment restricting factors. Acomprehensive summary of the economic situation of Liaoning coastal economic belt and themarine environment to the macroscopic and microscopic direction, provides an importantreference for the further research of Liaoning coastal economic zone.(2) the Liaoning coastal economic belt of economy and marine environmental evolutionThe evolution of the administrative management system according to the policy, theareas along the coast of Liaoning, to study the relationship between economic development ofLiaoning coastal and marine environmental change. Through a comprehensive analysis of thedata of economy development and marine environmental data, the Liaoning coastal eachdistrict economic development and change of marine environment is divided into severaldifferent characteristics of the stage, at the same time in each of the single index on the basisof analysis, the index dimensionless treatment, on the relationship between economic andenvironmental analysis, eliminates the single conclusion. And the reasons were analyzed bythe factor decomposition model, the change of industrial structure model and panel datamodel, which makes the analysis results with the article is more comprehensive than before,the specific. It is especially the panel data model, explains the EKC causes from the aspects ofgeographical location factors, improves the tightness analysis of the relationship between theLiaoning coastal economy and pollution of the marine environment. For improving theLiaoning coastal economic belt and the Bohai region’s economic mode of industry, economicpolicy, increase regulation of marine environmental protection policy, sustainabledevelopment has a very good reference. (3) the coordination degree of Liaoning province marine resources environment and economy.Category of complicated system of social economy and the marine environment belongsto multiple elements, multi-level, this article based on the structural model of Liaoning coastaland marine environment coordinated development of systems analysis, developed economyand the coordinated development of the marine environment evaluation index systemThispaper was first proposed by Professor Chen Shouyu, field of application on the coordinateddevelopment model of fuzzy recognition method of variable, namely Liaoning coastal andmarine environment coordinated development research. Methods of variable fuzzyrecognition and the environmental impact assessment method has some advantages, methodsof environmental impact assessment is one of the basic model of the comprehensiveevaluation of the sample size, the accuracy of the final result often there is a gap, superiorityand variable fuzzy identification method is derived for the4models by the transformparameters (1for the linear,3nonlinear) impact assessment, so as to greatly enhance thecredibility of evaluation results.(4)case studyof economic growth and the marine environment spatial panel data of Liaoningcoastal economic belt based on.A local EKC shape and inflection point will be affected by geographical location,economic structure, technical level and policy behavior and other factors, so in order to studythe effect of EKC is more accurate assumptions, experts and scholars tend to pay moreattention to improve the empirical methods, such as stationarity, cointegration test data of thewhole. Fewer but not only based on the spatial dynamic model, and the basic category of theresearch object are also mainly concentrated in large and medium-sized city, the provincialcapital and, as everyone knows, with the growing importance of marine environment, andbecause of the wind direction, flowing and marine pollution diffusion pathways, and theinfluence of velocity, a areas of the marine environment quality changes will affect pollutionchange of adjacent areas, and the result is more complex than the land. The EKC studymaterials and the conclusion of regional economy and the marine environment is not perfect,as the economy and the marine environment EKC research work has brought certain obstacles.Based on spatial interaction between regions, select the2001-2009panel data of6sub districtof Liaoning coastal economic zone, spatial dynamic panel data model, spatial spillover effect,empirical study of Liaoning coastal economic zone. Compensate for the lack of all aspects,provides a good reference and reference for the research on the relationship betweeneconomic Liaoning coastal and marine environment. (5) the theory of wavelet analysis to the Liaoning coastal economic zone economy and marineenvironmental prediction based on index analysisThe so-called time sequence, which is arranged in chronological order, with the timeseries variation and mutual coupling correlation data sequence. And the time series predictionis a play a decisive role in the analysis of the data processing based on the dynamic data, arewidely used in many fields of science computing, economic evaluation, project management.The traditional way of time series forecasting, usually based on linear autoregressive movingaverage trend model as the theoretical basis, according to the estimation of linear andstationary system results, but more diversified time series in the face of marine pollutantsconcentration which is not linear, and also not smooth, the traditional prediction methodshave been difficult to make scientific prediction. This chapter uses the wavelet analysis andprediction method, the main pollutant concentration can be marine environmentalconcentration time series were decomposed by wavelet, decompose them into differentfrequency pace, but because after concentration sequence after the decomposition of maingroup in the original signal frequency is relatively single limit, at the same time, the waveletdecomposition will smooth signal filtering processing, make it so, after the signal isdecomposed after two is obtained, the stability is better than the original signal is relativelymuch better. So using wavelet analysis prediction method is more scientific and practicalvalue, high reliability. For the prediction of high precision for content more rich, practicalsignificance.(6) the Liaoning coastal economic zone economy and sustainable development of the marineenvironment regulation researchAt present, the strategic analysis and decision system dynamics has been successfullyapplied to the social, economic and ecological complex system. Broad and complex bearingcapacity of the marine environment, the common method by linear constraints can not clearthe system with multiple feedback performance, optimization can only pursue solutions.While the SD method is the complex system is divided into several subsystems, and then set adifferent scheme for each decision variable selection, through the analysis of the relationshipbetween each subsystem, simulating the changes in and between subsystems trend of marineenvironmental change under different development strategy. By using the method of systemdynamics in Liaoning coastal economic zone of the ocean research and utilization of thefuture economic development of Liaoning coastal economic belt and the marine environmentprovides scientific basis and reference to carrying capacity. (7) economic and marine environment policies for sustainable development of Liaoningcoastal economic beltLiaoning coastal economic zone economy and marine environment is an important basisfor the implementation of development planning of coastal marine economy sustainabledevelopment, have important effect on the related department and behavior, is an importantpart of sustainable development strategy, is the basis and steps to implement the sustainabledevelopment. With macro guidance, regulation, comprehensive and cross-sectoral industrycharacteristics, this part from a different point of view, considering the nature of the ocean,follow its laws clearly marine functional zoning based on the combination of economicdevelopment and the national planning, establish the guiding principles of ocean economicdevelopment and development goals clearly, the development steps and measures, to refinethe economic development strategic objective and task of the sea, is of great significance toreasonable arrangement of marine economy project development scale and layout.