Study On The Investment Risk Of Carbon Forestry

Developing carbon forestry is an important means of increasing forest carbon sink, but also an important measure to cope with climate change. Currently there is a financing bottleneck on carbon sink forestry, Boot carbon sink forestry investment is the key to break the financing bottleneck, and carbon forestry investment exists risk, how to identify and assess the current risk level of carbon sink forestry, and propose strategies to deal with the risks of great significance.Using the associate tree to determine the investment risk factors, establishing the extension assessment model in accordance with matter element theory in extenics. The investment risks of carbon forestry are natural risk, market risk, policy risk, management risk and social risk. Using the method of evaluating the degree of extension can come to the evaluation results of investment risk level on carbon forestry. The results showed that the investment risk of carbon forestry(M) is-0.090,at the u4 risk level, which belongs to the higher risk. Among them, the natural risk(M1) is medium risk which is-0.114 at the u3 level; the policy risk(M2) is higher risk which is-0.036 at the u4 level;the market risk(M3) is higher risk which is 0.051 at the u4 level; the management risk(M4) is lower risk which is-0.029 at the u2 level, and the social risk(M5) is the lowest risk which is 0.112 at u3 level.Based on the results, making an importance evaluation of each risks, finally getting that market risk and policy risk is higher, natural risk is medium, management risk is lower,and social risk is the lowest.Putting forward the appropriate risk response strategies for the risk assessment results. For market risk, control risk by ensuring the feasibility of carbon forestry projects, transfer risk through the investment diversion. For policy risk, pointed to clear carbon forestry project property and to ensure the rational distribution of income; strengthen the construction of the relevant system on forestry carbon sinks to ensure the smooth implementation; and increase both the intensity of tax policy and the demand of forest carbon sinks; For natural risk, proposed to build a fire disaster prevention system and to avoid the hurricane disaster in the early. Finally put forward the relevant proposals, strengthening the cooperation between investors and farmers on forest carbon sinks in order to achieve win-win situation; improve the innovation of management technological and encourage the introduction of professionals; amend relevant policies and regulations to execute reward and punishment system; improve carbon sequestration trading platform to robust trading system.