Research Of Import And Export Trade Of Xinjiang Agricultural Products' Growth Effect On Agricultural Economy

Xinjiang is a big agricultural province, which is in the western frontier of the motherland, and developing import and export trade of agricultural products is the right choice to develop agricultural economy, increase farmers' income and solve the "SAN Nong problem". So, in order to circumvent the ill effects on Xinjiang agricultural economy and farmers' income and let import and export trade of agricultural product better play the positive effects, it is necessary to study how import and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural product drive agricultural economy and to grasp the relationship between the two. And eventually provide the basis for government policy making, better foster strengths and circumvent weaknesses and make best use of the advantage of the import and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural product.In view of the problems, this paper comprehensively discusses the basic theory of international trade, briefly reviews the research achievements of predecessors and summarizes the internal interaction mechanism of the import and export trade and economic growth. This paper then describes development of the Xinjiang agricultural product import and export and the long-term agricultural economic growth, which more intuitively shows the relationship between import and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural product and the agricultural economy. Measuring Angle, using Johansen cointegration test quantitatively analyzes the relationship between the import and export trade of the Xinjiang agricultural product and agricultural economy growth and confirms the three has long-term and stable relations, namely cointegration relationship. Based on the relationship of cointegration, using classical regression analyzes the relationship between import and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural product and agricultural economy. According to the results, Xinjiang agricultural exports and agricultural imports all have a significant role in promoting Xinjiang agricultural economy which is not like normal person thought can only export promote economy and import trade not only can not promote economy but inhibits the country or the region's economic development. However, specifically, both import trade and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural products has positive effective on agricultural economy. Due to the positive effect of export trade and import trade of Xinjiang agricultural product on agricultural economy growth, the more import and export trade of agricultural products develop, the more agricultural economy grows. In order to better play the positive effect of import trade and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural product on agricultural economy growth and improve the Xinjiang agriculture policy, need to find out important influence factors affecting the import and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural products most. General international trade gravity model is a tool to analyze the factors affecting international trade. Through the model, the paper analyzes the influence factors of import and export trade of the Xinjiang agricultural products. The results of the study find that distance is the most important factor affecting international trade of Xinjiang agricultural products, followed by population and economy of the both sides. In this paper, according to the conclusion of empirical model, puts forward measures to improve the import and export trade of Xinjiang agricultural products.Finally, from the angle of the whole research of this paper, put forward policy suggestions to promote the development between agricultural products' import and export and agriculture economy.