The Method Study On The Shipbuilding Agile Manufacturing Enterprise Vitality Evaluation And Prediction

This article considers that shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprises can be regarded as a kind of special organic life body, the reason say that it is a living body, is lies in that the establishment and operation of a perfect shipbuilding agile manufacturing is similar with the growth and development of the creatures of nature, shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprises as man-made life body, is the same with the creatures of nature, which has the natural growth cycle of birth and death, and its particularity lies in that this kind of birth and death life course of the creatures of nature has the irreversibility, its life is bound to death,but the life course of shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise has the very strong invertibility, even if it is in a recession, the enterprise does not die necessarily, because the enterprise has the formidable self-renewal ability, it can regain vitality through their structural adjustment and update.This article from the bionics angle, regards the shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise as the organic life body, has conducted the careful research to enterprise's vitality.Through conducting the careful research to shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise's vitality, the author establishes the vitality model of shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise, from economic benefits, management level, close to the degree of the partner enterprises, agility and so on of this dimensions to analyze the shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise's vitality. The enterprise vitality model include the enterprise vitality evaluation index system, the enterprise vitality fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and the enterprise vitality dynamic monitoring model this three parts. This three parts seemingly independent actually connected, vitality fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and vitality dynamic monitoring model are built on the basis of shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise evaluation index system, and the required historical data of dynamic monitoring model provided by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model.Through the analysis of shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise vitality to build the vitality evaluation index system which provide a model basis for the enterprise vitality evaluation. At the same time, through analyzing the shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise vitality evaluation index system frame may more direct-viewing analyze the reason of enterprise vitality situation various,can help enterprises discover the being problems in the shortest time,have the right medicine.Through the shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise vitality fuzzy comprehensiveevaluation model to evaluate enterprise vitality of the current and past time, understand that the enterprise vitality condition of current and past time. At the same time, combined with the shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise vitality evaluation index system can make the enterprise discovery influence enterprise elements of health in a timely manner. The shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise vitality is one kind of comprehensive capacity,it includes enterprise economic benefits condition,management level condition, close to the degree of the partner enterprises condition, agility and so on,through calculating the vitality of enterprise, we can discover whether enterprise's development are at the balanced condition, avoids enterprise's abnormal development.Through the shipbuilding agile manufacturing enterprise vitality dynamic monitoring model to forecast the change of enterprise vitality, plays an important early warning role to the enterprise. Enterprise own situation is changing unceasingly, and enterprise vitality is also changing constantly. We not only need to pay attention to the current enterprise's vitality condition, but also the future vitality condition, which can help the enterprise to formulate the developmental strategy and provide the decision-making basis.