| 2016 is a critical period for China to build a well-off society in an all-round way and realize the great rejuvenation of China.In this period,China’s energy market development is not only facing great challenges,but also there are great opportunities.In the international arena,natural gas supply is gradually loose,the international natural gas market prices drop with the decline in oil prices lower;in the country,the increasingly serious environmental problems so that China’s demand for natural gas gradually increased,thus making China’s imports of liquefied natural gas(LNG)The number of transport ships,the number of transport ships also will continue to increase.The main research significance lies in the quantitative analysis of the development of LNG shipping market in order to facilitate the development of LNG shipping market in China,so as to facilitate the development of LNG shipping market in China,and to analyze the supply and demand of LNG shipbuilding market,and to analyze the development of LNG shipping market,The shipping market to make more accurate estimates,is conducive to the development of their own business strategy for the development.This paper summarizes the nature and hazard characteristics of LNG,and summarizes the characteristics of supply and demand in the shipping market.The main influencing indexes of supply and demand in LNG shipping market are obtained.Then,regression analysis,gray prediction,BP neural Network prediction and other methods to compare the regression analysis method is more suitable for the quantitative forecast of LNG demand in the paper,the gray forecast model is more suitable for LNG transport ship capacity supply quantitative forecast analysis;China LNG shipping market supply and demand for the status of less than Therefore,we should use the theory of supply and demand in metrological economics to find out the expression of LNG shipping market in dynamic equilibrium,and then we can estimate the capacity of LNG fleet in equilibrium Supply,etc.size.In this paper,the econometric model is applied to the LNG shipping market analysis,and the specific relationship between the factors is obtained. |
