Study On Old Peasants' Risk And Strategy In The Perspective Of Livelihood Capital

In twenty-first Century,the most prominent population problem in China was the aging of the population,and the focus of the population aging problem was in the countryside.On the one hand,compared with the cities and towns,the rural area is facing the pressure of dual aging with stock and increment.On the other hand,the rural area is facing the contradiction between the increasing demand for the aged and the lagging old age security system.It is particularly important to realize the sustainable development of rural old-age.Based on the similarities and differences between farmers' poverty and farmers' pension problems,this paper introduces DFID's sustainable livelihoods analysis framework and adjusts and corrections,and constructs a sustainable livelihood analysis framework for farmers' pension risks and strategies.Study on the poverty of Xinjiang rural aging population by 2012 annual National Social Science Fund Project "Youth"(12CRK006)of the survey data of farmers in Xinjiang,the first of the peasants' pension and pension risk strategies carried out descriptive statistical analysis;second selection of human capital variables(number,quantity,son daughter cultural level,self-rated health status),the natural capital(the number of variables with the amount of cultivated land,cultivated land),physical capital(variable housing area,if there is a traffic class of fixed assets,whether agricultural machine fixed assets),financial capital variables(self-rated economic status,household savings),social capital variables(development,traffic convenience,economy village whether the status of village cadres,neighborhood)as independent variables,respectively,using the Ordinal Logistic model and Logistic model empirical classification The influence of livelihood capital on Farmers' pension risk and farmers' old-age strategy.Through empirical analysis,this paper draws the following conclusions:(1)farmers pension is not high degree of risk,life care and spiritual comfort risk significantly;(2)farmers' pension strategy to diversify from "pension dependent" to "independent endowment";(3)the existence of multiple impacts on Farmers' livelihood capital endowment risk and strategy.According to the research conclusion and achievements of the predecessors,this paper argues that to achieve sustainable farmers pension,to adhere to the reform,the rural old-age security system based on market demand;two,the sharing mechanism of the reconstruction of the social,family and the elderly pension liability;three to promote the number of farmers' livelihood capital increase and structure optimization.