Research On The Impact Of Aging On Economic Growth-in The View Of Floating Population

Nowadays the population aging is one of the most concerned social trends.Population,as the basic variable of aging,is closely related to social and economic development.According to the recently data,China will face a serious problem of aging for a long time.To deal with this problem,researcher had try their best.The issue of aging has been studied and discussed very long time,but up to now,the academic community has not reach an agreement on the impact of aging on economic growth.Since the new century,in the process of rapid economic development in our country,the quality of life of residents and the level of social medical have been constantly improving,and people's life expectancy is also increasing.Our country has entered an aging society at the beginning of the 21 st century.The change of population age structure will affect all aspects of social life.At the same time,the large-scale and unbalanced population flow not only promotes the economic development of our country,but also changes the level of aging in various regions.The regional differences of aging become more and more big,the government need do some measures to cope with this problem,in this background,understand the different impacts of aging on regional economic growth is benefit for our country.This paper use the C-D production function to analyzes the negative effect of population aging mainly on economic growth by reducing labor force,then establish the C-D production function,which includes human capital,found that population aging will improve the economic growth by improve average labor physical capital and average human capital.So the effect of population aging has double effects about economic growth.In the next study,this paper establishes an empirical model which includes population aging and flow,then analysis the impact to economic growth.The results are verified by collecting the provincial panel data from 2000-2016 years.The research shows that:Population flow can alleviate the negative effect of aging.Compared with the outflow area and inflow area,the negative effect of aging is more obvious in the equilibrium area.