Research On Simulation And Development Level Evaluation Of Shenyang Real Estate Market

The study combines system dynamics and Agent to simulate the real estate market in Shenyang,exploring the law of the development of the real estate market,and using DPSIR model to construct a comprehensive evaluation model for development of real estate market,horizontal comparison between Shenyang City and 18 other cities of the country,analyse the advantages and disadvantages of Shenyang real estate market.It has important theoretical significance and practical value for real estate market development,policy formulation,market system improvement,real estate investment decision-making and so on.Firstly,systematically analyse the related theories of system dynamics,agent and DPSIR model.Through the summary of domestic and foreign literature,analyse relevant research theories,clarified the research content and research ideas,laid a solid theoretical foundation for the research of the thesis.The concepts and characteristics of system dynamics,agents and DPSIR models are summarized.According to the basic characteristics of Shenyang real estate market,this paper reviews the development history of Shenyang real estate market,analyzes its development status and existing problems,and further clarifies the overall research direction of the paper.Secondly,the simulation model of Shenyang real estate market was established.The study not only considers the impact of economic,population,inventory and other factors on the real estate market,but also considers the interaction between the nine urban areas of Shenyang and the subjective influence of buyers' choice on the real estate market.At the same time,the data efficiency analysis and empirical analysis of the model were carried out on the housing prices of 9 urban districts in Shenyang.The research realized the combination of system dynamics and intelligent body simulation system and real estate market analysis,and improved the theoretical system of real estate market research.The research results show that the economic development and the development of the real estate market are positively related,and the housing stock is negatively correlated with the development of the real estate market.The population fluctuation has little impact on the development of real estate in downtown Shenyang.Opposite,the urban area outside the Second Ring Road is greatly affected by the population.Thirdly,a comprehensive evaluation model for development of Shenyang real estate market was established.Based on the DPSIR model,17 evaluation indicators were selected to construct a comprehensive evaluation model.Put Shenyang and the other 18 cities of the country together for horizontal comparison to analyze the advantages and disadvantages of Shenyang's real estate market development.The research results show that the development status of Shenyang real estate market ranks 13 in real estate in 19 cities,and its development driving force is insufficient,resulting in greater development pressure and developmental state.Finally,the study put forward three suggestions for the development of the Shenyang real estate market.First,establish a sound land supply system.Second,improve demand supply side management.Third,guide the healthy development of the real estate market.