| Since the economic reform and opening up,China’s economy has developed rapidly and has made great progress.The people’s healthy living standards have been greatly improved.However,the problems that come with it cannot be ignored.Since the beginning of the 21 st century,the level of population aging in China has intensified,the number of working-age population has been declining,and the demographic dividend has tended to disappear."In the new era,people don’t care much,but care about fineness." China will transform the "demographic dividend" into a "human capital dividend" and gradually transform the large population into a human resource country.As another form of human capital,healthy human capital has a positive effect on economic development,and the proposal of the “Healthy China 2030” plan has a positive effect on the healthy China’s strategic construction and the promotion of China’s healthy human capital development..Healthy human capital will surely become the new driving force for China’s economic growth and the core of comprehensive competitiveness in the future.The article takes healthy human capital as the research object,and determines the indicators that affect the measurement of healthy human capital through grounding theory and other methods,which are mainly divided into three categories and ten indicators.The three categories are: death,morbidity and sub-health;ten indicators are: life expectancy,mortality,tuberculosis incidence,viral hepatitis incidence,bed utilization rate,emergency department,psychiatric department The number of emergency visits,the length of sleep per capita,the number of anorexia days,and the number of colds per year.The AHP level analysis and expert scoring method are used to determine the weight of the healthy human capital evaluation index,and the index system of healthy human capital measurement is constructed.Through the analysis of China Statistical Yearbook,China Health StatisticsYearbook,China Health and Nutrition Survey and sample survey results,we measured the health human capital situation in China from 2008 to 2016 and understood the current status of China’s current healthy human capital development.Firstly,the gray theory method is used to predict the healthy human capital situation of China in the future2017-2037,then change the training set,use the neural network method to predict the healthy human capital situation of China in the future 2017-2037,and compare and predict the prediction results of these two methods.The results show that China’s healthy human capital will maintain rapid growth in the future,but after reaching a certain level,the growth rate of healthy human capital will gradually decline,but still maintain a slow growth rate.The article focuses on the development of China’s healthy human capital,and innovatively constructs an indicator system for measuring human capital,and measures and predicts China’s healthy human capital,and makes suggestions on how to improve develop China’s healthy human capital.This enriches and develops the existing human capital theory and has certain practical guiding significance for promoting the construction of China’s healthy. |