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The Process Analysis And Evolution Mechanism Research Of Technological Progress

Posted on:2016-02-28Degree:DoctorType:Dissertation
Country:ChinaCandidate:Y Y CaiFull Text:PDF
GTID:1109330503477958Subject:Management Science and Engineering
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Grasping the process and evolution mechanism of technological progress is the first question of formulating technological strategy, which is the intrinsic requirement of technology management and innovation management. The paper studies impacts and characteristics of technological progress in the growth of macroeconomic by employing a basic theoretical model. Technological progresses in aggregate production function are divided into three categories:process technology, product technology, management technology. The differences of the pattern of economic growth are interpreted by three types of technological progresses. This idea is made use of carrying out empirical studies in national and industrial level by using historical data; of analyzing economy and forecasting the future development; and of providing theoretical support in technological progress angle for state and industrial development strategy of state.In basic theoretical model of technological progress, individual manufacturing process is defined as the elementary unit of aggregate production function. One individual manufacturing process incorporates a process technology, a product technology, a management technology, the labor inputs and raw material inputs. Then the aggregate production function is denoted by the sum of individual manufacturing processes, and the change of aggregate production is denoted by the sum of different kinds of technological progresses. Compared with the traditional aggregate production function, total factor productivity (Solow residual] is divided into three parts. On basis of theoretical model analysis, some truths are explicated as follows:First, distinguishing the impacts of three kinds of technological progresses in the economic growth is important for us to understand the essence of economic growth. If rapid growth was driven by the upgrading of process technologies, it cannot be persisted. When the upgrading of process technologies was end, the growth would stagnate. Next, growth effect caused by technological progresses is rooted in the difference between new technologies and old technologies. The bigger difference is, the more significant growth effect is. Accordingly, the significant growth effect does not imply that the technologies are advanced. Technological progress and technology advanced have the different concepts. Third, the convergent tendency between backward countries and advanced countries generated by faster growth in the short term is insignificance, because this kind of growth that comes from the upgrading of process technologies is unsustainability. Fourth, technological progresses at the technological frontier are fundamentally different from technological progresses far away from the technological frontier. Research and development is the only way to obtain technological progresses for the countries at the technological frontier. Conversely, for the countries that obtain technological progresses by import, imitation and learning, they may be still far away from the technological frontier. Fifth, late-mover advantage is pregnant in process technology era, during a cycle of process technology; the convergent tendency is inevitable but may be interferential by accidental factors. Sixth, the theme of technological progresses has been changed in contemporary era. Technologies develop in diversify directions and the change is accelerating. The technological frontier switches among countries; research and development is the main modality to scramble technological frontier. Seventh, it is worth noting that basic industry is important for the burgeoning backward industrial countries.In chapter four, consistency and practical significance of basic theoretical model are demonstrated and the above facts are discussed by analyzing history of technology. From the era of steam to the age of electricity and from the Japan after World War II to the East Asian miracle, characteristics of technological progresses are confirmed one by one. In process technology era, taking the lead to adopt advanced process technology, will obtain faster growth firstly, such as the Britain in the era of steam. However, Britain had been surpassed by the United States and Germany in half a century respectively. It implies that advantages and disadvantages may be interchangeable in a short period of time for the periodicity of process technology. The development process of Japan indicated that run after strategy was feasible in process technology era. In just a few decades, Japan caught up with the advanced industrial countries. After World War Ⅱ, technologies develop in diversify directions and the inevitable convergent tendency no longer exists. Rapid growth of the Four Asian Tigers and Chinese Mainland is one of inevitabilities of history. After the rapid growth, they enter the normal growth. In the long run, technological progresses are influenced by many factors, such as economic, political, institutional, cultural, historical, etc. In chapter five, empirical study on China’s grain production indicated that institutions exercises made a great influence on the direction of technological progress. It is necessary to distinguish technological progress whether if for thought or practice.
Keywords/Search Tags:Technological progress, Historical analysis, Development strategy
PDF Full Text Request
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