Theoretical And Empirical Analysis Of The Evolution Of Industrial Structure

Modern economic growth makes the industrial structurealternation as the core in nature. Economic growth and industrialstructure depend on each other. Traditional economic growth theorythinks, supposing competitive equilibrium, economic growth islong-term effect's result, which comes from capital accumulation,labor force increase and technological innovation. It ignores theinternal relations between industrial structure evolution andeconomic growth for a long time — it thinks from a long-term viewfactors' revenue rate of all departments is equal to its marginalproductivity rate. Resources disposition can come up. Factors'transfer among various departments is unnecessary. After empiricalanalysis modern economists point out economic structure status andit's change have very important affect on economic growth. Factorsflow make one department rises when another subside, which lead toindustrial structure's transform and upgrade have become moderneconomic growth's inner variable. On the base of the above studythis text discusses more relations between modern economic growthand industrial structure and analyses inner functional mechanism thatinfluence restrict and determine each other between economic growthand industrial structure. Moreover the text will make use of thetheory in empirical analysis, take regional economy as study objectand raise the countermeasure and step which can promote Anhuiprovince's economic growth by way of industrial structureoptimization and upgrade. The thesis's study train of thought is as follows. First,summarizing the theory of industrial structure evolution, managingand giving out the developing thread of thoughts of the industrialstructure theory and summing up the evolutional course of industrialstructure of developed countries, which can give evidence to thetheory and give useful reference to the regional industrial structureoptimization and upgrade. Second, specifically discussing therelation between industrial structure evolution and regional economicgrowth, summarizing the classical theory of regional industrialstructure and regional economic growth, going deep in studying theirinteractive and mutually promotional interior mechanism and leadingsome deep-layer problems about regional industrial structurerationalization, optimization and upgrade. Third, discussing regionaldominant industry choosing problem, analyzing the theory, methodand index system of choosing regional dominant industry,summarizing the relation between dominate industry and secondaryindustry. Finally, taking Anhui province for example,demonstratively analyzing the industrial structure evolution,concluding the history and status quo of economic development andindustrial structure evolution, analyzing the basal qualification andestablishing the principle, trend, goal and the way of thinking ofindustrial structure optimization and upgrade, and at last puttingforward the countermeasure to the first, second, third industrialstructure optimization and upgrade, expatiating the dominantindustry choosing and policy supporting problem. The main content of each part of the thesis is as follows. Chapter 1, the general theories analysis of the industrialstructure evolution. It mainly summarize the industrial structureevolution theory and empirically sum up the evolutional course ofdomestic and international industrial structure. Chapter 2, industrial structure evolution and regional economicgrowth. First it summarizes the classical theory about the relationbetween industrial structure evolution and regional economic growthof Kuznets, H.B.Qianane, Rostosk, Pasinetti and so on. Then itfurther investigation the decision factor of industrial structureinfluencing and promotional function mechanism of the industrialstructure change and economic growth. Finally it analyzes themeaning, influence and measure standard of the regional industrialstructure optimization and empirically analyzes current industrialstructure optimization problem in China. Chapter 3, analysis in choosing regional demonstrative industry.It expa...