Research On Structure Of Production And Industrial Sectors Development Model Based On Input-Output Techniques

Irrational structure of production and incoordinated growth among sectors areoutstanding problems that exit in Chinese current economics. Therefore, carrying outa model research on structure of production and industrial sectors development is animportant approach to enhance economic growth of a country or region. And it is alsoof great theoretical and practical significance.This dissertation makes a study of structure of production and sector development. Itsmain contents are as follows:After analyzing relative theories concerned structure of production both at home andabroad, this dissertation comes up with definitions of structure of production andindustrial sectors. Based on the principle analysis of structure of production andindustrial sectors, on the basis of Leontief's input-output techniques, starting fromRostow's important thesis " Economic growth is the result of replacement of onanother in turn among leading sectors", by combining input-output model and stepanalysis, and by means of five-step structural model and its judgment matrix whoseinterface is the formation of economic and technical targets and whose objective is theoptimization of structure of production, the leading sectors choice model, whichsolves the problem of leading sectors choice, is established. Further from the previousmodel, linked with multi-purpose model and by introducing industry priority weightand investment ratio matrix, such constraint conditions as interconnection amongindustrial sectors, rate of development and triple industrial value added are set up,taking into account of the achievement of the following objectives: structure ofproduction, GDP as well as investment result. Hence, the structure of production andsectors development optimization model comes into being. This solves the problem ofstructure of production and sectors development optimization which is brought alongby leading industrial sectors. By means of input-output model and the principle ofstructural Decomposition Analysis, on the premises that output of every industrialsector increases in proportion and with the increasing ratio of home final demandbeing output increasing ratio, structure of production and development varianceanalysis model is achieved. Thus, the problem of quantitative computation of structureof production and industrial sectors development variance which is due to suchelements as technological advance, final demand and net export is solved. At the endof the dissertation, such researches as on a country's or region's leading industrialsector's choice, development, optimization as well as its bringing along over nationaleconomics, and on structure of production and industrial sectors developmentvariance are carried out, assessment of current economic development is made, andpolicy suggestions as to structure of production and industrial sectors developmentduring the tenth "five-year plan" period are produced.