Research On The Long-term Mechanism Of Poverty Alleviation In Contiguous Destitute Areas

From 1978 to 2019,China has reduced 765 million people in poverty,and poverty alleviation has entered a critical stage from decisive achievement to comprehensive victory.General Secretary Xi Jinping pointed out that "we must take measures to stabilize poverty alleviation and establish a long-term poverty alleviation mechanism".As contiguous poverty-stricken areas,ensuring the quality of poverty alleviation,consolidating the achievements of poverty alleviation and preventing poverty return are urgent issues to be solved.Based on the follow-up survey of contiguous poverty-stricken areas since 2017,this study starts from the perspective of the mechanism of preventing "contiguous poverty-stricken areas" from returning to poverty,combines with the field survey data,evaluates the effectiveness of the current poverty alleviation practice,constructs a risk monitoring and early warning mechanism,and puts forward long-term mechanism suggestions for poverty alleviation.First of all,the article makes a comprehensive evaluation on the effect of poverty alleviation.The poverty breadth,depth and intensity of 14 contiguous poverty-stricken areas were measured,and the dynamic poverty alleviation effect of contiguous poverty-stricken areas since 2011 was quantified and sorted.On this basis,the poverty degree and development status of 14 areas were classified and divided into value categories.In this paper,the overall and individual,history and current situation are combined to comprehensively evaluate the poverty alleviation effect of contiguous poverty-stricken areas.It is found that the common features of contiguous poverty-stricken areas are the strong recurrence and volatility of poverty,the high coupling between poverty distribution and resource poverty,and the prominent performance of poverty vulnerability.The poverty degree and poverty alleviation effect of 14 contiguous poverty-stricken areas are alienated.Secondly,LV1 model is established to measure the livelihood capital index of poverty-stricken households in the sample area in recent three years,so as to evaluate the sustainability of poverty alleviation effect of poor households.Multiple regression method was used to evaluate the impact of Poverty Alleviation Policies on Farmers'livelihood capital.The empirical study found that:1)disaster and disease are two important factors of poverty.2)Migrant workers' livelihood sustainability is the strongest,and the diversification of livelihood income types has gradually become the mainstream.3)Industrial poverty alleviation,resettlement,employment poverty alleviation,health poverty alleviation and other poverty alleviation policies have played a good role in promoting the sustainability of poverty alleviation livelihood of poor households.4)After adding the control variables,the education poverty alleviation policy and the dangerous housing reconstruction policy failed to pass the significance test.It is speculated that the reason may be the delayed effect and long-term special envoy of poverty alleviation through education,whose value is latent.Most of the poor households in Qinba mountain area chose to move out in the policy of dilapidated house reconstruction and resettlement,which makes the two policies not significant.Third,monitoring and early warning of the risk of returning to poverty.The optimized real coded projection pursuit model of genetic algorithm(RCGA-PP)is used to construct the risk monitoring and early warning system of poverty return.The sample data are used to monitor and predict the risk of poverty return.The results show that:Although the sample area has a high level of poverty alleviation effect,30%of the poverty alleviation households face a higher risk of poverty return.Based on the above analysis,according to the theory of poverty agglomeration and poverty trap,the theory of individual feasible ability and the theory of human comprehensive development.In order to achieve long-term poverty alleviation,we must combine internal and external.We should construct a long-term mechanism from five aspects,including resource allocation,policy implementation,subject transformation,overall promotion and model innovation,so as to improve the poverty alleviation efficiency,promote the livelihood and self-development ability of the poor population,enhance the sustainable development ability of the poor areas,break through the poverty trap,prevent poverty return,and achieve long-term poverty alleviation.To a certain extent,this paper expands the research on the long-term mechanism of poverty alleviation.The research methods and conclusions can provide reference for adjusting Poverty Alleviation Policies and giving full play to the precise poverty alleviation effect;the evaluation of poverty alleviation effect in contiguous poverty-stricken areas,the judgment of future poverty alleviation trend,and the construction of risk monitoring and early warning system can provide reference for preventing poverty return,and provide data and research reference for the establishment of long-term development mechanism in poverty-stricken areas.