Risk Evaluation Applied In Logistics Projects

Risk evaluation is the basis of making a strategic decision. According to the character of Logistics projects, large-scale investment, high risk and pertinence This thesis evaluate the risks of Logistics projects by two steps. The first step, set a suit of index system for evaluation, taken all the risks through the construction and running process of Logistics projects into account, and number the indexes by experts investigation. Introduce an example and judge the risk levels by a team of experts, then evaluate the whole risk level of the project by fuzzy mathematics comprehensive judgment and get the result. The second step, analysis the economic risk qualitatively, forecast the profit of the certain Logistics project, to find out the economic risk of the project by risk compensation way. Finally, according to some certain condition of the Logistics project, bring up some measures for risk evasion in running the project.