Reseafch On The Temporal-spatial Evolution Of The Working Population In The Different Industries In Anhui Province

By the dimension of time and space, this paper focuses on the relationship between different industries in Anhui Province and the working population, the influential factors, the spatial expression and the development tendency.By the time dimension, this paper review and predict the development of the working population of the three industries in Anhui Province from2001to2020. From2001to2010, the operational index system about impacting on the working population of the three industries is established by the analytic hierarchy process method. The index system includes two factors of demographic and industrial economy. After the index system established, by principal component analysis and regression analysis, this paper research on the relationship between the working population of the three industries in Anhui Province and demographic factors, industry factors as well as the factors affecting the change of the working population of the three industries. The research shows that there is a relationship between the working population of the primary, secondary and tertiary industries in Anhui Province and the influential factors of demographic and industry. In terms of Demographic, the major effect factors on the change of the three industries working population in Anhui Province are the number of college degree which people possessed during100,000people, the proportion of working age population, the urbanization level and the population density. In terms of industry, the major effect factors on the change of the three industries working population in Anhui Province are the proportion of GDP on the secondary industry output value, the gross assets of the secondary industry, value of import, value of export and the gross assets of the tertiary industry.From2010to2020, by the method of the gray prediction model GM (1,1), the paper selects the better fitting precision data of three industries working population to predict and analyses the future development patterns and trends of the working population of the three industries in Anhui Province by the forecast data. The research shows that the working population of the primary industry transfer to the secondary and tertiary industries working population. The primary working population continues to decline. The upward trend of the secondary industry working population gradually weakens. The tertiary working population increases rapidly.In the time dimension development axis, the paper makes an intensive study for the spatial dimensions. The space distribution, the spatial agglomeration, the space correlation and the spatial trend on the working population of the three industries in are analyzed by the quantitative methods in geography. The spatial expression of the normal distribution on the working population of the three industries in every cities of Anhui Province during2010is analyzed by the GIS spatial expression to study the space distribution of the not quantitative methods in geography. The spatial agglomeration and the space correlation of the working population of the three industries are analyzed by global correlation index, Moran scatter diagram, local spatial relation index. Then spatial interpolation of expression and GM (1,1) gray prediction model are combined to review and predict the spatial trends and extension of the working population of the three industries in Anhui Province. Finally spatial interpolation plane is painted.As every city in Anhui Province are developing with increasing demand and frequent transfer on the working population of the three industries,The research shows that gradually the working population of the three industries in the global and local space of Anhui Province will be random distribution.At the same time the high and low cluster center on the three industries working population gradually disappear. As time went on, the Chuzhou-Chaohu-Anqing line on the working population of the primary industry is moving with drawing the circle of the center Anqing by counterclockwise rotation. The research shows that the overall development trend of the population of the primary industry is the East less than the West. The primary industry with low working population is formed from Ma On Shan to the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, then to Chizhou,Huangshan in Jiangnan region. The primary industry with high population is formed in Bozhou, Fuyang, Luan, Anqing. The ring high growth area on the working population of the secondary industry is formed in Suzhou, Fuyang, Hefei, Chuzhou. The Chuzhou-Chaohu- Anqing line on the working population of the tertiary industry is moving with drawing the circle of the center Anqing by clockwise rotation. The research shows that the overall development trend of the population of the tertiary industry is the East less than the West. The future of the working population of the tertiary industry in Anhui province will form dot radiation trend likes Hefei.