The Study On The Interactive Relationship Among Information,Industrialization And Urbanization

There are quantities of achievements about the relationship among informatization, urbanization and industrialization all over the world. Co-mpared with quantities of achievements about the relationship among inf ormatization, urbanization and industrialization, researches on their intera ctive effect is insufficient. With few empirical studies to refer, this paper aims to make further researches on the interactive mechanism among the above elements.It provides a theoretical basis by realizing the depth integration of informatization and urbanization, informatization and industrialization. And, it also realizes positive interaction between urbanization and industrialization.In this paper, based on the national timing data from1978to2012, we introduce a VAR model to analyze the dynamic relationship between informatization, urbanization and industrialization, and then we use the Johansen Cointegration, Granger causality test, Impulse Response, Variance decomposition and other quantitative analysis method to prove our results. It shows that there is long-run equilibrium relationship between informatization, urbanization and industrialization. Besides, our results show that industrialization has a significant promotion for urbanization, but urbanization has a non-significant promotion for industrialization. The promotion of informatization to urbanization and industrialization will become more and more significant with time, the development of information technology mainly rely on its own strength.Meanwhile, this paper introduced the panel threshold regression model. It made the level of informatization as a threshold variable.Using the data of31provinces from2001and2012to examine the different levels of informatization. From the national and regional inspects to explore the threshold effection. We find the impact of industrialization is different in different levels. The empirical results proposed that there exists the informatization threshold effect in the relationship between urbanization and industrialization. And the eastern, central and western three areas have significant differences. The informatization in eastern area is higher than the other areas. The western region is the slowest. The east and central regions have the similarity that with the improvement of informatization level, the promotion from industrialization to urbanization is becoming weaker. The influence coefficient of east regions is lower than the central region. The industrial level of the western region hamper the development of urbanization, but with the improvement of informatization level, this block is become weaker.According to the results, this paper attempts to give few suggestions to sound and perfect the interactive development mechanism system of urbanization and industrialization; Enhance the connotation of urbanization and play leading role of new type of urbanization; Increase awareness of social informatization and promote the development of information technology; Promote the informationization of penetrating ability and the coordinated development of the three; Make full use of their own advantages to narrow the gap. We also have to deal with the relationship between the three in order to play interactive effects among them and to realize synchronized development.